694
FNUS71 KOKX 210823
FWSOKX
SPOT FORECAST FOR JENNINGS CREEK FIRE...NYS IMT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
323 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0500 EST ON NOVEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
631-924-0383
DISCUSSION
A WETTING RAINFALL THROUGH FRIDAY WILL HELP MITIGATE SHORT TERM
CONCERNS FOR FIRE DANGER, BUT WILL NOT BE ENOUGH TO LIFT US FROM
LONG TERM DROUGHT.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................100 PERCENT DECREASING TO 90 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT
LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 90 PERCENT IN
THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 45.
RH..................MIN 95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 17
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
ADI.................0 TO 37.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........95 95 93 94 95 94 95 95 95 94 95 94
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............100 90 90 90 100 100 100 90 90 90 90 90
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............43 45 41 44 44 44 44 44 43 42 41 40
RH..............100 96 100 98 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..020 030 030 030 020 020 010 010 000 340 330 320
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.14 16 17 17 16 16 16 14 14 16 16 16
ADI.............27 35 37 35 33 23 11 0 0 0 0 0
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN SNOW SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................90 PERCENT DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 31.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AFTER 3 AM. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
ADI.................0.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........95 97 95 93 94 87 88 80 78 79 75 76
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RS RS RS SW RS RS RS SW SW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............90 80 80 80 60 60 60 40 40 40 30 30
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............39 38 37 36 35 34 34 34 34 33 32 32
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..310 300 290 270 260 250 240 230 230 220 210 200
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 18 18 18 19 18 18 18 18 18 18
ADI.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 41.
RH..................MIN 79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
ADI.................0.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........79 81 71 66 71 72 73 74 74 74 74 75
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW RW RW RW RS RS
TSTM COV........
CWR.............30 50 50 50 50 50 50 60 60 60 60 60
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............31 31 32 34 36 38 40 41 41 40 38 36
RH..............100 100 100 100 94 91 84 79 79 82 87 94
20 FT WIND DIR..190 190 180 180 180 170 160 160 160 150 140 120
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 4
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 17 16 16 14 14 14 13 11 10 10
ADI.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
FORECASTER...BR
REQUESTED BY...JIM LEVANDOWSKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2426875.4/OKX
.DELDT 11/21/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NYSIMTSITL@GMAIL.COM
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