843  
FNUS71 KOKX 060923  
FWSOKX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUCKABEAR FIRE UPDATE...NJFFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY  
523 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A WETTING RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING AS  
SHOWERS WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS PUSH IN AHEAD OF A COLD  
FRONT. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY  
MORNING. RH VALUES FALL TO 50-60% SUNDAY AFTERNOON.  
 
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...80 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........66 AT FORECAST START...MAX 80.  
RH..................100 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 2 MPH AT FORECAST  
START...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 6  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
MORNING.  
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 76 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........41 42 42 47 57 63 71 77 90 79 84 72  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF CHC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 80 80 80 50  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 40 40 40 80 80 80 40  
TEMP............66 67 70 72 74 75 77 78 79 79 78 77  
RH..............100 97 90 87 84 82 79 76 77 74 74 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..210 200 190 190 190 190 200 210 230 250 280 310  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 5 5 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 8 6 6 7  
ADI.............4 4 8 15 26 38 54 69 76 71 58 43  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY THROUGH THE NIGHT.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57.  
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
ADI.................3 TO 30 IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........74 75 85 92 93 94  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CWR.............50 50 50 60 50 50  
CHC OF THDR (%).40 40 40 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 69 65 63 61 59  
RH..............74 81 87 90 93 96  
20 FT WIND......320/5 000/3 010/2 350/2 350/2 000/2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 4 4 4 4  
ADI.............30 9 5 4 3 M  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.  
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
ADI.................MISSING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........94 91 83 72 58 39  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............50 20 20 20 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 58 62 66 69 70  
RH..............100 100 87 73 61 55  
20 FT WIND......350/2 350/3 330/3 300/3 280/4 280/4  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 5 5 6 6  
ADI.............M M M M M M  
 

 
FORECASTER...JC  
REQUESTED BY...M. MILLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2521376.2/OKX  
.DELDT 09/06/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NJFFAIMT@GMAIL.COM,NJFFSAPSC3@GMAIL.COM  
 
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