776  
FNUS71 KOKX 061832  
FWSOKX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUCKABEAR FIRE UPDATE...NJFFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY  
232 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVE IN THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS  
EVENING. SHOWERS LINGER OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. DRY  
CONDITIONS RETURN THEREAFTER THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. WETTING RAINS  
LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY.  
 
WINDS ARE GOING TO BE SWITCHING FROM SOUTHWEST FLOW THIS AFTERNOON  
TO MORE WEST FLOW LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN NORTHWEST THIS  
EVENING. WINDS REMAIN NORTHWEST THEREAFTER ON AVERAGE THROUGH THE  
REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. WIND SPEEDS NEAR 10 MPH THIS  
AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO NEAR 20 MPH AND THEN AROUND 5 MPH  
THEREAFTER THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. GUSTS DIMINISH  
THIS EVENING.  
 
WINDS AND WIND GUSTS WILL BE HIGHER IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
WIND DIRECTION MAY ALSO SUDDENLY CHANGE WITH THUNDERSTORMS.  
 
MINIMUM RH THIS AFTERNOON GENERALLY BETWEEN 50 AND 60 PERCENT AND  
THEN NEAR 40 TO 45 PERCENT FOR SUNDAY.  
 
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE EVENING, THEN INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT LATE  
IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 60 PERCENT  
OVERNIGHT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........73 AT FORECAST START...MIN 58.  
RH..................87 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MAX 100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 5 MPH AT FORECAST  
START...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY  
IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.  
ADI.................1 TO 30.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........86 86 87 91 95 99 99 100 100 100 100 100  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............50 50 60 60 60 70 70 70 60 60 60 70  
CHC OF THDR (%).40 40 40 40 40 20 20 20 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............73 69 66 65 64 64 63 62 62 60 59 60  
RH..............87 93 97 97 97 93 93 97 97 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..290 330 340 350 000 010 000 350 350 340 340 340  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 10 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7  
ADI.............30 8 1 1 4 4 6 7 7 6 7 9  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................70 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.  
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
ADI.................12 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 87 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........100 93 86 85 76 30  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............70 60 60 40 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............58 58 60 64 67 68  
RH..............100 100 93 81 68 59  
20 FT WIND......340/3 330/4 320/4 320/4 300/4 290/4  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 6 6 6 6  
ADI.............12 21 41 47 46 81  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49.  
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
ADI.................64 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 0 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........18 13 7 9 4 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............67 61 56 54 51 49  
RH..............59 70 77 77 83 86  
20 FT WIND......300/3 310/2 320/2 320/2 330/2 320/2  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 4 4 4 4 4  
ADI.............64 2 0 6 5 3  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.  
RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
ADI.................3 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 62 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........2 2 2 2 3 3 6 10 13 12 11 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............49 50 52 55 59 64 67 69 70 71 71 70  
RH..............86 83 80 74 64 54 49 45 44 42 42 44  
20 FT WIND DIR..320 330 330 330 340 340 340 330 330 330 340 340  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6  
ADI.............3 4 4 21 41 57 62 62 58 54 48 40  
 

 
FORECASTER...JM  
REQUESTED BY...M. MILLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2521376.3/OKX  
.DELDT 09/06/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NJFFAIMT@GMAIL.COM,NJFFSAPSC3@GMAIL.COM  
 
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