994
FXUS61 KOKX 261511
AFDOKX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1011 AM EST MON JAN 26 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
SNOW CONTINUES TO TAPER OFF. NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS BEYOND
A DUSTING EXPECTED.
KEY MESSAGES
1) SLIPPERY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AS WELL BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE WHICH WILL MEAN MINIMAL ICE AND
SNOW MELT.
2) ANOTHER ROUND OF ARCTIC AIR ARRIVES LATER THIS WEEK WHICH
WILL RIVAL OR EXCEED THE MOST RECENT BOUT OF COLD.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1
VERY LITTLE SNOW MELT IS EXPECTED AS TEMPERATURES TODAY
MODERATE SOME, BUT SHOULD FALL JUST SHORT OF FREEZING THIS
AFTERNOON WITH MOST WIND CHILLS TODAY STRUGGLING TO GET OUT OF
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEENS.
COLD AIR REINFORCEMENTS ARRIVE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY, WITH LOWS
TONIGHT DOWN INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS AND WIND CHILLS
NEAR OR JUST BELOW ZERO. HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL ONLY REACH THE UPPER
TEENS AND LOWER 20S. MORE WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGITS ARE ANTICIPATED
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE WINDS DIMINISH
SOME LATE. WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL JUST SHORT OF COLD
WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA THE NEXT COUPLE OF NIGHTS.
KEY MESSAGE 2
THE NEXT WAVE OF FRIGID TEMPERATURES ARRIVES FOR THE SECOND HALF OF
THIS WEEK IN A SERIES OF COLD REINFORCEMENTS. THIS NEXT WAVE OF
ARCTIC AIR ARRIVES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, AND WILL
REMAIN INTO FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT COLD WEATHER
HEADLINES WILL BE NEEDED FOR THIS PERIOD. TEMPERATURES START TO
MODERATE A BIT INTO THE WEEKEND, BUT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
WELL BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION /15Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
OFFSHORE LOW PRESSURE EXITS INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TODAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
EXPECT MAINLY MVFR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING WITH GRADUAL
IMPROVEMENT TO VFR THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.
BRIEF IFR POSSIBLE IN SNOW SHOWERS.
N WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT THIS MORNING BACKS MORE NW INTO THE
AFTERNOON AND SPEEDS INCREASE TOWARD 15-20 KT WITH GUSTS AROUND
25 KT LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING (KGON LATEST).
GUSTS DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS FLOW BECOMES MORE WNW INTO TUESDAY.
ANY ADDITIONAL SNOW/SLEET/ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT.
...NY METRO (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF UNCERTAINTY...
AMENDMENTS LIKELY WITH TIMING OF CHANGING FLIGHT CATEGORIES AND
ONSET OF GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON. TIMING OF EITHER MAY BE OFF 1-2
HOURS.
OUTLOOK FOR 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
TUESDAY: VFR. W WIND GUSTS 15-20 KT.
WEDNESDAY: VFR. SOME W-NW WIND GUSTS 15-20 KT, SUBSIDING AT NIGHT.
THURSDAY: MAINLY VFR. NW WIND GUSTS 15-20 KT.
FRIDAY: MAINLY VFR. NW WIND GUSTS 15-20 KT.
MARINE
SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ON THE OCEAN WITH
ELEVATED SEAS TO BEGIN THE WEEK. BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON SMALL CRAFT
CONDITIONS RETURN ON THE NON-OCEAN WATERS WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30
KT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY, WITH A FEW POCKETS OF MODERATE
FREEZING SPRAY POSSIBLY DEVELOPING TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
THERE MAY BE A BRIEF LULL IN SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS
OF THE NON-OCEAN WATERS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING, OTHERWISE EXPECT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE TIME THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON, AND POTENTIALLY INTO A PORTION OF TUESDAY EVENING.
SUB ADVISORY CONDITIONS BRIEFLY RETURN FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT, BEFORE ADVISORY CONDITIONS LIKELY RETURN
ONCE AGAIN FOR THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY FOR ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST TUESDAY FOR ANZ350-353-355.
DISCUSSION...JMC/JE
AVIATION...DR/DW
MARINE...JE
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