866  
FNUS71 KOKX 210722  
FWSOKX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FRESH POND RXS...NYS DEPT OF ENVIRON CONSERV  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY  
322 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON APRIL 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA GRADUALLY BUILDS OFFSHORE TODAY. A  
FRONTAL WAVE WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO  
WEDNESDAY. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH THIS MORNING WILL BECOME LIGHT  
AND VARIABLE BEFORE SHIFTING TO THE NE THEN SE THIS MORNING. A  
SOUTHERLY FLOW 5 TO AROUND 10 MPH DEVELOPS THIS AFTERNOON. THE  
LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE AROUND 25 PERCENT THIS  
AFTERNOON.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........36 AT IGNITION...MAX 50.  
RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND  
5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5300 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................28 TO 58.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 3 5 7 10 28 31 35 27 33  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 40 44 47 48 48 48 49 50 50  
RH..............54 44 36 31 29 29 30 30 32 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..020 020 030 030 020 350 330 300 230 190  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 7 6 6 6 6 7 7 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 3.5 4.9 5.3 5.1 4.9 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.060 060 050 030 350 300 250 220 210 200  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 9 7 5 5 5 5 6 7 10  
ADI.............46 42 43 30 29 28 29 36 43 58  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39.  
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 16 MPH.  
ADI.................6 TO 17.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........29 29 41 35 36 42 55 59 93 94 93 95  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 40 40 40 60  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 44 41 40 39 39 39 40 40 40 40 40  
RH..............40 47 55 59 67 70 70 70 70 73 76 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 180 180  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 2.5 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.190 180 180 180 180 190 200 190 190 190 200 190  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 15 15 16 15 16 15 16 15 15 15  
ADI.............6 6 10 7 7 10 11 10 11 13 13 17  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN  
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................60 PERCENT DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 53.  
RH..................MIN 66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 14 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................23 TO 56.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........98 99 100 96 97 97 95 91 87 86 85 83  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 30 30 30 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............41 42 44 46 47 49 50 52 53 53 53 52  
RH..............79 79 76 73 71 68 68 66 66 69 71 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..180 170 170 170 170 170 170 160 160 160 150 140  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 170 170 160 160  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 17 21 23 23 24 24 24 23 21 17 14  
ADI.............26 31 48 56 44 47 48 48 44 46 34 23  
 

 
FORECASTER...MET  
REQUESTED BY...BRYAN GALLAGHER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2611019.0/OKX  
.DELDT 04/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRYAN.GALLAGHER@DEC.NY.GOV  
 
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