072
FNUS71 KOKX 201906
FWSOKX
SPOT FORECAST FOR SARNOFF WEST BLOCK D RX...NYSDEC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
306 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 EDT ON MAY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WITH LINGERING SHOWERS INTO TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW. WE SHOULD
BE DRY BY THU AFTERNOON. RH REMAINS ABOVE 60% THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH WINDS MAINLY LIGHT FROM THE WEST TODAY BECOMING EAST
TOMORROW.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................80 PERCENT DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT LATE IN THE
EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT
OVERNIGHT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........77 AT IGNITION...MIN 57.
RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO
9 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
ADI.................3 TO 12.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........85 92 92 89 89 79 89 79 82 76 81 85
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............80 80 80 80 80 50 50 50 30 30 30 50
CHC OF THDR (%).40 40 40 40 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............77 73 69 68 67 66 65 63 62 60 58 57
RH..............67 79 90 90 93 93 90 84 75 75 77 77
20 FT WIND DIR..230 260 260 270 320 330 340 330 340 350 350 350
20 FT WIND SPD..6 4 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.11 8 7 6 6 6 6 7 8 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.250 260 260 280 310 330 330 340 340 340 350 350
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 9 7 6 5 5 5 6 7 7 8 9
ADI.............8 5 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 10 11 12
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
LATE IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................50 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT LATE
IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST
5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING
LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 10
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
ADI.................28 TO 58.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........89 88 87 83 89 93 91 93 88 88 92 91
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............50 50 60 60 60 40 40 40 30 30 30 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............57 59 61 62 64 63 63 63 61 63 61 61
RH..............80 78 75 72 67 65 65 62 67 62 67 65
20 FT WIND DIR..350 020 020 030 040 050 050 060 050 070 110 130
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 5 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 11 12 13 14 13 12 10 10 8 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 2.0 2.9 3.4 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.1 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.000 030 050 050 040 040 040 030 030 030 030 020
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 17 20 18 16 14 13 13 12 10 9 7
ADI.............43 51 58 57 53 47 44 40 35 30 29 28
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST LATE
IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AROUND 0 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHEAST 1 TO 3 MPH OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO
THE EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
ADI.................2 TO 6.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........84 81 84 72 47 44 48 29 26 22 14 8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............60 57 56 54 53 53 53 53 53 52 53 53
RH..............67 75 77 83 86 86 86 83 83 86 80 80
20 FT WIND DIR..150 160 170 160 000 000 000 000 000 050 040 040
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 4
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 4 6 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.1 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.040 060 080 100 000 000 160 130 110 090 070 050
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 6 7 9
ADI.............4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 4 5 6
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN
THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 23 MPH.
ADI.................17 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 61 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........14 4 16 0 16 31 35 38 42 49 56 63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............52 54 57 60 63 65 66 66 66 66 66 65
RH..............80 71 64 58 52 46 45 43 43 43 43 45
20 FT WIND DIR..040 050 050 060 070 070 080 100 110 110 120 120
20 FT WIND SPD..4 6 6 6 7 8 8 8 7 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 13 11 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 3.1 3.7 4.1 4.5 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.1 5.1 4.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.060 070 070 070 070 070 070 070 070 070 070 070
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 20 23 23 22 21 21 21 20 18 18 16
ADI.............17 24 37 35 42 56 61 59 53 47 35 27
FORECASTER...BR
REQUESTED BY...PETER MOREHOUSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2614157.0/OKX
.DELDT 05/20/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL PETER.MOREHOUSE@DEC.NY.GOV
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