067
FXUS64 KOUN 182014
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
214 PM CST MON NOV 18 2024
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 204 PM CST MON NOV 18 2024
- STRONG WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON TODAY, WIND ADVISORY IN
EFFECT.
- TURNING COOLER FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 204 PM CST MON NOV 18 2024
CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH AND NORTHEAST INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS, SKIES WILL
CLEAR, WINDS WILL DECREASES AND WITH DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA,
OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE SOME 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER THAN
WHAT WAS SEEN LAST NIGHT. WILL ALLOW WIND ADVISORY TO EXPIRE AT 00Z,
COULD SEE A FEW GUSTS TO NEAR 40 IN STILLWATER TO PONCA CITY AREA
FOR AN HOUR OR SO AFTER THIS, BUT WIND SPEEDS SHOULD BE DROPPING OFF
RATHER QUICKLY.
SHORT TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 204 PM CST MON NOV 18 2024
COOLER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER SOUTH BEHIND A WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY TUESDAY. STILL, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL APPROACH 70
DEGREES, BUT MOST LOCATIONS WILL BE CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMS (MID
50S TO MID 60S). AS DRIER AIR OVERSPREADS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS
AND EVEN WITH WINDS NOT COMPLETELY DROPPING OFF, TEMPERATURES WILL
FALL TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
SURFACE RIDGE SETTLES SOUTH, CENTERED OVER NORTHWEST TEXAS, KEEPING
TEMPERATURES ACTUALLY A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY WITH
ANOTHER COOL/COLD NIGHT AS WE GO INTO THURSDAY MORNING. HOWEVER, IT
STILL APPEAR MUCH OF THE AREA WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING WITH
PERHAPS A LIGHT FREEZE NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 204 PM CST MON NOV 18 2024
ANOTHER WEAK BOUNDARY WILL WORK SOUTH ON THURSDAY, WHICH WILL STUNT
ANY WARM UP AS WE GO INTO THE WEEKEND AND MAY BE THE BEST CHANCE TO
SEE FREEZING OR NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES INTO CENTRAL AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. ALL THESE BOUNDARIES WILL COME THROUGH DRY AS
MID-LEVEL RIDGING WORKS OUT OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS. THIS
WILL EVENTUALLY LEAD TO ANOTHER WARM UP OVER THE WEEKEND. SOME
LOCATIONS MAY ONCE AGAIN CLIMB SOME 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
IN ADDITION, MANY LOCATIONS WILL GO ANOTHER WEEK WITHOUT SEEING A
FREEZE THIS FALL AS OVERNIGHT LOWS LOOK TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING
THIS WEEKEND INTO AT LEAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1124 AM CST MON NOV 18 2024
INTERVALS OF LOW CIGS (AND CATEGORY REDUCTION TO MVFR/IFR) ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE COMING HOURS, MOST PROMINENTLY AT
KWWR/KCSM/KPNC/KSWO. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS (A FEW INSTANCES OF
THUNDER) AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST-TO-WEST WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED HERE
THROUGH SUNSET THIS EVENING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
RETURN AT ALL TERMINALS BY 00-03 UTC TUESDAY.
SAFE TRAVELS!
UNGAR
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 45 61 36 55 / 0 0 0 0
HOBART OK 41 64 33 59 / 0 0 0 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 45 68 37 61 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 35 56 28 55 / 0 0 0 0
PONCA CITY OK 41 61 32 54 / 0 0 0 0
DURANT OK 48 71 41 61 / 0 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR OKZ007-008-012-013-
018>020-023>031-035>042-044>046.
TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR TXZ083>090.
NEAR TERM...30
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...09
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