013
FXUS64 KOUN 241700
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1200 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 219 AM CDT TUE JUN 24 2025
- HEAT INDEX VALUES UP TO 100 DEGREES, WITH A FEW AREAS OF UP TO
105 DEGREES THROUGH THE WEEK ACROSS MUCH OF OUR AREA.
- RAIN AND STORM CHANCES REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA THIS WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
NEAR TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 219 AM CDT TUE JUN 24 2025
THE CENTER OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS LOCATED OVER THE MID-
ATLANTIC WITH A TROUGH LOCATED ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. BETWEEN
THEM, IS A PLUME OF MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE THAT EXTENDS FROM
NORTHERN MEXICO INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. ASSOCIATED WITH THE
MOISTURE PLUME IS SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF
THIS ACTIVITY MAY MOVE ACROSS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA THROUGH THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS. BUT OVERALL, MAINLY BRING DRY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT, BUT THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON SHOWER/STORM ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA (LESS THAN 20
PERCENT). FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA SHOULD BE DRY WITH BETTER CHANCES
ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH
HEAT INDEX VALUES NEAR 100 (EAST OF I-35/HWY 81).
SHORT TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 219 AM CDT TUE JUN 24 2025
ON WEDNESDAY THE CENTER OF THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD WESTWARD WHILE
A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES/
CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS. THERE IS SOME EVIDENCE OF A WEAK
DISTURBANCE OR TWO ROTATING AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE
WHICH MAY HELP WITH AFTERNOON SHOWERS. THIS SHOULD MAINLY BE ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA. THE PLUME OF MOISTURE TO OUR WEST WILL BE
DISPLACED FAR ENOUGH AWAY THAT WESTERN OKLAHOMA WILL BE DRY.
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MAY SKIRT THE AREA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. IF THIS
OCCURS, THERE WILL BE AN INCREASED CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA (20-30%).
OTHERWISE, THURSDAY WILL BE HOT WITH A MODERATE SOUTHERLY WIND.
HEAT INDEX VALUES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AFTERNOONS WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 90S TO LOWER 100S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 219 AM CDT TUE JUN 24 2025
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE MAINLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN STATES WITH A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TO OUR WEST. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO BRING MAINLY DRY WEATHER WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS
INCREASING EACH DAY. HIGHS SATURDAY WILL BE THE MID 90S TO LOW
100S. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES MAY BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER, AFTERNOON
HUMIDITY WILL BE SOMEWHAT LOWER, SO HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL MAINLY
BE IN THE LOWER 100S. BY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, THE PATTERN MAY
CHANGE JUST ENOUGH FOR BETTER CHANCES OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING
SHOWERS AND STORMS. THIS WILL MAINLY BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF
TO TWO-THIRDS OF OKLAHOMA.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. ANOTHER
AFTERNOON WITH A COMBINATION OF SCATTERED DIURNAL CUMULUS AND MID
CLOUDS IS EXPECTED. SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE FLOW WILL REMAIN
BREEZY THROUGH SUNSET, THOUGH LESS SO COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS.
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDER ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHWESTERN
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, THOUGH CONFIDENCE IN IMPACT
TO KWWR IS LOW ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE MENTION AT THIS UPDATE.
SAFE TRAVELS!
UNGAR
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 72 91 73 92 / 0 0 0 0
HOBART OK 72 94 72 96 / 0 0 0 10
WICHITA FALLS TX 73 93 74 94 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 71 93 70 93 / 0 0 10 30
PONCA CITY OK 72 92 73 94 / 0 0 0 10
DURANT OK 74 91 74 93 / 0 10 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
NEAR TERM...06
SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....06
AVIATION...09
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