310
FXUS64 KOUN 250631
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
131 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 130 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
- HEAT INDEX VALUES UP TO 100 DEGREES, WITH A FEW AREAS OF UP TO
105 DEGREES THROUGH THE WEEK ACROSS MUCH OF OUR AREA.
- RAIN AND STORM CHANCES REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA THIS WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND,
WITH GREATER CHANCES AREA-WIDE EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 153 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2025
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON HAS BEEN FOCUSED
FARTHER WEST COMPARED TO YESTERDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE CENTERED
OVER THE EASTERN US HAS BUILT IN MORE OVER THE REGION, PUSHING THE
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME WESTWARD. CAN'T RULE OUT A STRAY
SHOWER OR STORM ACROSS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
THE MOISTURE PLUME, BUT THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE AREA WILL REMAIN
DRY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LOWS DROPPING INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S.
WARE
SHORT TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 153 PM CDT TUE JUN 24 2025
ONLY SUBTLE CHANGES TO THE OVERALL PATTERN ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY AS OUR AREA REMAINS BETWEEN THE EXPANSIVE EASTERN US
UPPER RIDGE AND TROUGHING OVER THE WESTERN US. 10-20% CHANCES FOR
MAINLY DIURNAL SHOWERS/STORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY AS ABUNDANT
SURFACE MOISTURE AND WEAK CAPPING WILL BE IN PLACE. SLIGHTLY GREATER
CHANCES (20-30%) ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY EVENING ACROSS
NORTHERN/NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE BRUSHES BY THE
AREA TO OUR NORTH. OTHERWISE, HOT/HUMID CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH
AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES 95-100 DEGREES AND LOWS ONLY DROPPING INTO
THE LOW/MID 70S EACH NIGHT.
WARE
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 219 AM CDT TUE JUN 24 2025
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE MAINLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN STATES WITH A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TO OUR WEST. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO BRING MAINLY DRY WEATHER WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS
INCREASING EACH DAY. HIGHS SATURDAY WILL BE THE MID 90S TO LOW
100S. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES MAY BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER, AFTERNOON
HUMIDITY WILL BE SOMEWHAT LOWER, SO HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL MAINLY
BE IN THE LOWER 100S. BY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, THE PATTERN MAY
CHANGE JUST ENOUGH FOR BETTER CHANCES OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING
SHOWERS AND STORMS. THIS WILL MAINLY BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF
TO TWO-THIRDS OF OKLAHOMA.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 130 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
UNRESTRICTED CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WILL CONTINUE (VFR
CONDITIONS).
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL WEAKEN AFTER SUNSET AND WILL INCREASE DURING
THE DAYTIME TOMORROW. FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS BETWEEN 5000 TO
6000 FT ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE
OF ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA (KDUA), BUT THE PROBABILITY IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE
TAFS.
MAHALE
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 90 73 92 74 / 10 0 10 0
HOBART OK 93 72 95 72 / 0 0 10 10
WICHITA FALLS TX 92 73 94 75 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 92 70 93 70 / 0 10 10 20
PONCA CITY OK 92 73 93 72 / 0 0 10 20
DURANT OK 91 73 93 75 / 20 0 10 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
NEAR TERM...08
SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....06
AVIATION...10
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page