440
FXUS64 KOUN 120533
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1233 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1231 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
- HOT/ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN/STORMS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND PERHAPS WESTERN-NORTH TEXAS.
NEAR TERM
(THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
A MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE CENTERED DIRECTLY OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS TODAY. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL GET UP INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. DRY CONDITIONS WILL NO WEATHER IMPACT IS
EXPECTED.
SHORT TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
OVERNIGHT LOWS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY ARE EXPECTED TO NOT RECOVER
MUCH, WITH MOST OF THE AREA ONLY GETTING DOWN INTO THE LOW 70S.
A MUCH BROADER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN
CONUS, PUSHING THE RIDGE TO THE EAST. IN TURN, AFTERNOON HIGHS
WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER SATURDAY AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE AREA
WILL SEE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S, WITH SOME MID 90S POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE
SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING, MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN AND
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. A SLOWER
PROGRESSION OF THIS SYSTEM MAY CONTINUE TO LIMIT THE EXPANSIVE
NATURE OF THE PRECIPITATION. NEVERTHELESS, TRENDS IN THIS ACTIVITY
WILL BE MONITORED.
THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH WILL PUSH THROUGH THE PLAINS SUNDAY, SO
AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER. NO ADDITIONAL RAIN
CHANCES ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
AT LEAST SOME WEAKER RIDGING ALOFT WILL MOVE BACK IN NEXT WEEK,
KEEPING AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES FROM GETTING BELOW THE UPPER 80S.
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS WOULD SUGGEST A BREAKDOWN OF THE RIDGE BY
MIDWEEK, WITH ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1013 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE.
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT SOUTH WINDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL
VEER A BIT FROM THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND INCREASE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. SOME GUSTS OVER 20KTS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
WEST. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS POSSIBLE BY LATE IN THE DAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 93 70 91 71 / 0 0 0 0
HOBART OK 96 69 94 71 / 0 0 0 10
WICHITA FALLS TX 95 70 93 72 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 93 67 89 65 / 0 0 0 30
PONCA CITY OK 95 70 94 71 / 0 0 0 0
DURANT OK 94 70 93 70 / 0 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
NEAR TERM...13
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...30
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