496
FXUS64 KOUN 290345
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1045 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1041 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
- A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY, WITH GUSTS TO 50
MPH EXPECTED.
- A FREEZE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING FOR NORTH/WEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS. PATCHY TO WIDESPREAD FROST IS ANTICIPATED.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 111 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
THE H250 AND H500 JET MAXIMS HAVE REACHED THE PANHANDLES AND WILL
CONTINUE TO DIG ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS, WHICH
IS CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN PLAINS. CONTINUED CAA WILL YIELD
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE MID-50S (NORTH, PARTS OF CENTRAL OK)
TO THE MID- 60'S (SOUTHERN OK AND WESTERN NORTH TX). NORTH WINDS
WILL DECREASE SOME THIS AFTERNOON, BUT WILL REMAIN BREEZY AT 20 TO
25 MPH, WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. RAIN IS DEPARTING OUR CWA AND
CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST. WINDS DIMINISH THIS
EVENING TO NEAR 15 MPH (GUSTS TO 25 MPH).
THE DEEPENING TROUGH BECOMES A CLOSED LOW TONIGHT WHILE TRACKING
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE KS/MO/OK/AR JUNCTION AND THE LLJ
INTENSIFIES TO NEAR 65 KNOTS WHILE TRAVERSING OKLAHOMA BEGINNING
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS THIS OCCURS, NORTH/NORTHWEST WINDS
INCREASE TOWARDS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING TO 20 TO 25 MPH, WITH
STRONG WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH EXPECTED. WHILE AIR TEMPERATURES
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH FREEZING TONIGHT, THE STRONG WINDS AND
COLD TEMPERATURES COULD LEAD TO WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE 20'S AND
30'S OVERNIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
THOMPSON
SHORT TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 111 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA FOR
FROM 4AM TO 4PM WEDNESDAY. SUSTAINED N/NW WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
AND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED. AS THE JET MAXIMS ALOFT SHIFT
SOUTH OF OUR AREA, WINDS WILL DECREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BY
EVENING. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CLOUDS ARE ANTICIPATED NEAR AND EAST
OF I-35 TOMORROW AND WITH DRY CONDITIONS AREA-WIDE. COOLER
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN ON WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 50'S AND
60'S.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT, NORTH WINDS DIMINISH TO 10 MPH AND CLOUDS SHIFT TO
THE EAST WITH THE DEPARTING WAVE. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER
OUR AREA AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN
AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA, AND PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. A FREEZE
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING FOR THESE AREAS, AND ALSO INCLUDES PART OF WEST-CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA FOR THE PATCHY FROST POTENTIAL.
THOMPSON
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSER TO NORMAL ON FRIDAY. A LONGER WAVE
TROUGH ORIGINATING FROM THE U.S. GREAT LAKES REGION WILL BE DIGGING
THROUGH OUR AREA ON SATURDAY PUSHING A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT
THROUGH WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING ONLY A FEW DEGREES WITH HIGHS IN
THE 60S. MODELS DIVERGE FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY ALTHOUGH HINT THAT
PRESSURE HEIGHTS WILL RISE DUE TO UPPER RIDGING BUILDING ACROSS THE
SOUTHWESTERN U.S. RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND WITH MILD YET ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES STARTING SUNDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. STRENGTHENING
NORTHERLY WINDS ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL RESULT IN LOW-LEVEL WIND
SHEAR (LLWS). THESE STRONGER WINDS WILL MIX TO THE SURFACE
TOMORROW MORNING, WHICH WILL RESULT IN GUSTY WINDS UNTIL SUNSET.
WRAP-AROUND CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE EASTERN
TERMINALS TOMORROW (KPNC AND KSWO); HOWEVER, VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH CEILINGS BETWEEN 4000 TO 5000 FT.
MAHALE
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 40 54 35 60 / 0 0 0 0
HOBART OK 41 59 31 65 / 0 0 0 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 44 61 35 65 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 35 53 29 63 / 0 0 0 0
PONCA CITY OK 41 54 34 60 / 0 0 0 0
DURANT OK 45 59 41 63 / 0 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR OKAYS>048-
050>052.
FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
FOR OKZ004>019-021>024-027-033>039-044.
TX...WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR TXZ083>090.
FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
FOR TXZ083>089.
NEAR TERM...01
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....68
AVIATION...10
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