845
FXUS64 KOUN 300651
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
151 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 137 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
- FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND FROST ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING
ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND INTO WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS WITH TEMPERATURES AS LOW AS 27 DEGREES.
- A WEAK COLD FRONT FRIDAY WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES BY
SATURDAY WITH A LOW CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND INTO NORTH TEXAS.
- ABOVE-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS RETURNING NEXT
WEEK TO START OFF NOVEMBER.
NEAR TERM
(THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 137 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING IS GIVING WAY TO
RADIATIONAL COOLING OF SURFACE TEMPERATURES. EXPECT BELOW FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ROUGHLY ALONG AND WEST OF I-44 WITH SOME LOCALIZED
AREAS ACROSS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA DROPPING TO AS LOW AS 27 DEGREES. A
FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8AM FOR THIS AREA OF BELOW
FREEZING TEMPERATURES. FROST AND COLD TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING,
BUT STILL IN THE 30S ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA.
A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8AM FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA. SOME HIGH CLOUDS MAY PUSH SOUTHWARD ACROSS NORTHERN AND
INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT SURFACE WINDS WILL
PERSIST TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA AS THE SURFACE RIDGE PUSHES
EAST. HOWEVER, A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL DIG INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA
THIS AFTERNOON WITH WINDS SHIFTING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST.
EXPECT COOL TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY.
SHORT TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 137 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
BY TONIGHT, LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL RETURN TO OKLAHOMA AND
NORTH TEXAS. CLEAR SKIES COUPLED WITH THE LIGHT WINDS WILL GIVE WAY
TO COLD TEMPERATURE OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER, TEMPERATURES MAY STAY NEAR
OR ABOVE FREEZING, WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES (20-30%) FOR BELOW
FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. FRIDAY WILL
FEATURE SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW AHEAD OF A BACKDOOR SURFACE FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW DIGGING INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. WARM
AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL GIVE WAY TO TEMPERATURES
WARMING INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S, ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA AND INTO WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. HIGHS MAY BE COOLER IN THE
LOWER 60S WITH THE FRONT AND MID-TO-HIGH CLOUDS PUSHING SOUTH INTO
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
AS THE UPPER LOW DIGS FARTHER SOUTH INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
SATURDAY, THE SURFACE HIGH WILL BUILD INTO THE PLAINS WITH A COOLER
POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS BRINGING HIGHS BACK TO THE 50S TO MID-60S.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR SOME POST-FRONTAL LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
AND/OR VIRGA SATURDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 137 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
THE SURFACE HIGH WILL PUSH FARTHER SOUTH BY SUNDAY MORNING BRINGING
A LOW (<30%) CHANCE BASED ON NBM/ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE FOR FREEZING
TEMPERATURES. THE HIGHEST CHANCES WILL BE ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.
AS UPPER RIDGING BUILDS ALOFT AND HEIGHTS RISE, TEMPERATURES WILL
BEGIN TO WARM SUNDAY AND INTO NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES MAY BE 5-10
DEG ABOVE NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THE FIRST WEEK OF NOVEMBER.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1049 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND SOMEWHAT VARIABLE.
MAHALE
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 61 39 64 44 / 0 0 0 0
HOBART OK 65 37 67 42 / 0 0 0 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 65 39 70 47 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 63 34 62 36 / 0 0 0 0
PONCA CITY OK 60 35 63 41 / 0 0 0 0
DURANT OK 64 40 69 47 / 0 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR OKZ004>019-
021>024-027-033>039-044.
FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR OKZ020-025-026-
028>031-040>042-045-046-050.
TX...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR TXZ083>089.
FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR TXZ090.
NEAR TERM...23
SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....23
AVIATION...10
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