398
FXUS64 KOUN 302333
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
633 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 632 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
- A WEAK COLD FRONT FRIDAY WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES BY
SATURDAY WITH A LOW CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND INTO NORTH TEXAS.
- ABOVE-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS RETURNING NEXT
WEEK TO START OFF NOVEMBER.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 101 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
LIGHT WINDS AND SUNNY SKIES THIS AFTERNOON WILL HELP TEMPERATURES
GET UP TO THE LOW 60S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. A SURFACE RIDGE
WILL SLOWLY CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE EAST TONIGHT, SO EXPECT WINDS
AGAIN TO BE LIGHT THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
BE CHILLY, BUT NOT AS COLD AS THIS MORNING'S TEMPERATURES.
OVERALL, LOW TEMPERATURES WILL DIP DOWN INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S
ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS. FROST WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT,
GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF I-40.
SHORT TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 101 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY ON FRIDAY, WHICH WILL
HELP AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES GET UP TO THE MID TO UPPER 60S TO LOW
70S ACROSS THE CWA. A MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE FURTHER TO THE
SOUTH ACROSS THE PLAINS ON SATURDAY. A SURFACE HIGH ALONG THE LEE
OF THE ROCKIES WILL PROMOTE COLD AIR ADVECTION DOWN THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. BECAUSE THIS FRONT WILL BE MOVING ACROSS DURING
THE DAY, THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES DURING
THE AFTERNOON. AREAS POST-FRONTAL MAY ONLY SEE HIGHS INTO THE MID
TO UPPER 50S, WHEREAS AREAS PRE-FRONTAL MAY SEE HIGHS IN THE 60S.
THERE IS ALSO A LOW CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS FAR SOUTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA ON SATURDAY LATE MORNING.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 137 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
THE SURFACE HIGH WILL PUSH FARTHER SOUTH BY SUNDAY MORNING BRINGING
A LOW (<30%) CHANCE BASED ON NBM/ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE FOR FREEZING
TEMPERATURES. THE HIGHEST CHANCES WILL BE ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.
AS UPPER RIDGING BUILDS ALOFT AND HEIGHTS RISE, TEMPERATURES WILL
BEGIN TO WARM SUNDAY AND INTO NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES MAY BE 5-10
DEG ABOVE NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THE FIRST WEEK OF NOVEMBER.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT BEFORE BECOMING
PREDOMINANTLY SOUTHERLY TOMORROW.
MAHALE
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 39 64 46 59 / 0 0 0 0
HOBART OK 36 67 43 63 / 0 0 10 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 39 70 47 66 / 0 0 0 10
GAGE OK 34 62 37 56 / 0 0 10 0
PONCA CITY OK 34 63 42 57 / 0 0 0 0
DURANT OK 41 68 48 65 / 0 0 0 20
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...FROST ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ007-008-012-
013-019-020-025-026-028>032-040-042.
TX...NONE.
NEAR TERM...13
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....23
AVIATION...10
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