318
FXUS64 KOUN 020953
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
353 AM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 350 AM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
- FREEZE WARNING AND FROST ADVISORY ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN, CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA FROM 2 AM TO 7 AM
SUNDAY MORNING.
- ABOVE-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS RETURNING FROM
SUNDAY ONWARD INTO NEXT WEEK.
NEAR TERM
(THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1245 AM CDT SUN NOV 2 2025
AFTER FROST/FREEZE CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING, A SPLENDID FALL
WEATHER DAY IS ON TAP ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS. CLEAR
SKIES AND GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE SURFACE FLOW IS PREVALENT
ACROSS THE AREA AT THIS HOUR, AS A SURFACE HIGH CONTINUES TO
SLOWLY ADVANCE OFF TO THE SOUTH AND EAST. THE RESULT WILL BE
FREEZING TO NEAR-FREEZING CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF OKLAHOMA
TOWARDS SUNRISE, POTENTIALLY AS FAR SOUTH AS THE RED RIVER
VICINITY. WE WILL MAINTAIN FROST AND FREEZE HEADLINES FOR
PORTIONS OF THE AREA THAT HAVE YET TO SEE SUSTAINED/HARD FREEZE
CONDITIONS AT THIS POINT IN THE FALL.
DAYTIME CONDITIONS WILL BE PICTURE PERFECT ACROSS THE REGION, AS AN
UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO SLIDE EASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS. SLIGHTLY
STRONGER SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS, THE RESULT OF A MODEST SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT, WILL ALLOW FOR WARMER TEMPERATURES (60S CENTRAL
AND EAST TO 70S WEST). ENJOY THE WEATHER IF PLANS TAKE YOU OUTDOORS
THIS AFTERNOON & EVENING!
UNGAR
SHORT TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1245 AM CDT SUN NOV 2 2025
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM AS WE HEAD INTO THE
UPCOMING WORK WEEK. A WEAK/DRY SURFACE FRONT WILL SETTLE INTO
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA ON MONDAY AFTERNOON. A BELT OF 80+ DEGREE
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IS LIKELY AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE ACROSS
SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA, WITH MID TO UPPER-70S
ELSEWHERE.
TUESDAY WILL CONTINUE THE TREND IN WARM AND DRY WEATHER. A GUSTY
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WIND IS ALSO FORECAST INTO THE AFTERNOON AS A
STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOPS IN RESPONSE TO LEE CYCLOGENESIS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. ANOTHER AFTERNOON OF UPPER-70S TO
LOW-80S IS CURRENTLY ADVERTISED.
UNGAR
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1245 AM CDT SUN NOV 2 2025
ABOVE-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND DRY SURFACE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN
THE MAIN STORY INTO THE MIDWEEK AND BEYOND. THE UPPER AIR PATTERN
WILL GENERALLY FEATURE QUASI-ZONAL FLOW, WITH POTENTIAL FOR AN
UPPER RIDGE TO TRAVERSE PORTIONS OF THE NORTH-CENTRAL CONUS BY
THURSDAY. DAYTIME TEMPERATURE DEPARTURES LOOK TO CONTINUE RUNNING
+15-25 DEGREES DURING THE PERIOD, WITH MULTIPLE DAYS OF 80+
DEGREE HIGH TEMPERATURES CONTINUING ACROSS THE RED RIVER VALLEY.
OUTSIDE OF A VERY LOW (10-20%) CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA ON FRIDAY MORNING, ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING
WAVE ACROSS THE PLAINS, DRY WEATHER IS CURRENTLY FAVORED.
UNGAR
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 350 AM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING
BECOMING SOUTHERLY AND INCREASING BY MID-MORNING AS THE SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM SHIFTS AWAY FROM THE AREA. GUSTS OF 15 TO 20
KNOTS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST TERMINALS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 47 74 53 74 / 0 0 0 0
HOBART OK 46 78 50 79 / 0 0 0 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 47 80 50 80 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 42 72 50 78 / 0 0 0 0
PONCA CITY OK 43 71 52 75 / 0 0 0 0
DURANT OK 44 76 49 77 / 0 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR OKZ006>008-
011>013-017>020.
FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR OKZ025-026-
028>032-040>043-046>048.
TX...NONE.
NEAR TERM...09
SHORT TERM...09
LONG TERM....09
AVIATION...01
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