152
FXUS64 KOUN 062341
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
541 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 525 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
- A SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT BRINGS BELOW-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TO
THE AREA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WITH A HARD FREEZE MONDAY
MORNING.
- DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1226 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE RETURNED WHICH WILL BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES
BACK THROUGH NORTHERN OKLAHOMA--HIGHS IN THE MID 70S (NORTH OK) TO
THE LOW 80S (SOUTH OK / NORTH TX). THIS AFTERNOON WILL SEE A LIGHT
BREEZE OF 10 TO 15 MPH.
ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL ENTER NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING,
MOVING THROUGH MOST OF THE REGION OVERNIGHT. BY DAWN, LOWS WILL
RANGE FROM THE MID 40S (NW OK) TO THE UPPER 50S (SE OK).
DAY
SHORT TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1226 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY WITH CLEARING SKIES IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.
THE NEXT FRONT (STRONGER THIS TIME) IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. THIS
WILL BRING GUSTY NORTH WINDS AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES. SATURDAY
WILL BE THE TRANSITION DAY AS HIGHS ARE CUT SHORT TO THE 60S IN
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA WHILE SOUTHER OK AND NORTH TX ARE ABLE TO RISE
INTO THE UPPER 70S AGAIN BEFORE BEING OVERRUN BY COLDER AIR.
SATURDAY NIGHT, LOWS WILL FALL TO AT OR JUST BELOW FREEZING IN
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA (OTHER AREAS WILL SEE MID 30S TO MID 40S).
DAY
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 201 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO TREND DOWNWARD WITH TEMPERATURES FOR
SUNDAY AND MONDAY MORNING. ON SUNDAY MORNING, AIR TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE 30'S TO LOW 40'S BUT IT WILL FEEL MUCH
COLDER DUE TO THE STRONG NORTH WINDS. WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE
20'S ARE ANTICIPATED TO REACH INTO PARTS OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND MAY CONTINUE FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF
OKLAHOMA THROUGH AT LEAST MID-MORNING. SUNDAY HIGH TEMPERATURES
MAY NOT RISE OUT OF THE 40'S, DESPITE SUNNY SKIES. A HARD FREEZE
IS LOOKING MORE LIKELY FOR MOST AREAS AS MONDAY MORNING LOW
TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE 20'S. WILL SEE A BIT OF A WARMUP ON
MONDAY, BUT OUR REGION WILL REMAIN UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW AS
AMPLIFYING TROUGH DEPARTS AND A RIDGE APPROACHES.
THEN, THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN WEAKENS AND BECOMES LESS AMPLIFIED
AS THE RIDGE REMAINS CENTERED TO OUR WEST. THIS WILL LEAD TO
WARM-UP INTO THE 70'S ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, WITH DRY
CONDITIONS PERSISTING.
THOMPSON
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 540 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
A COLD FRONT/NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT WILL MOVE THROUGH ALL THE
TERMINALS TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING, SHIFTING THE WINDS THE
NORTH.
MAHALE
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 51 73 47 70 / 0 0 0 0
HOBART OK 49 76 44 73 / 0 0 0 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 50 79 47 77 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 44 70 43 64 / 0 0 0 0
PONCA CITY OK 48 73 44 68 / 0 0 0 0
DURANT OK 59 79 50 78 / 0 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
NEAR TERM...14
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...10
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