130
FXUS64 KOUN 300637
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1237 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1209 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
- NEAR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON DUE
TO LOW HUMIDITY.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED MIDWEEK
THOUGH THE WEEKEND.
NEAR TERM
(THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1209 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
CLEAR SKIES, LIGHT WINDS, AND A DRY AIRMASS HAVE ALLOWED FOR
TEMPERATURES TO DROP QUICKLY INTO THE TEENS AND TWENTIES EARLY THIS
MORNING. AS IS USUALLY THE CASE WITH RADIATIONAL COOLING SETUPS, THE
COLDEST TEMPERATURES ARE BEING OBSERVED IN VALLEYS AND OTHER MORE
SHELTERED AREAS, WHERE SOME SITES MAY SEE TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW 15
DEGREES BY SUNRISE.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM QUICKLY TODAY AS WINDS BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY
AND A VERY DRY AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE. HIGHS WILL REACH INTO THE
50S ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA, WHICH WILL BE A 30-40 DEGREE INCREASE
FROM THIS MORNING'S LOW TEMPERATURES IN MANY SPOTS. AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP NEAR OR BELOW 20%, BUT FAIRLY LIGHT
WIND SPEEDS SHOULD HELP TEMPER OUR FIRE RISK TODAY (THOUGH NEAR-
ELEVATED CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY). LOWS TONIGHT WILL NOT BE NEARLY AS
COOL, WITH MOST AREAS DROPPING INTO THE MID 20S TO LOW 30S BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
WARE
SHORT TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1209 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE 50S AND 60S ON
WEDNESDAY AS 925-850 MB FLOW VEERS, HELPING ADVECT A WARMER,
DOWNSLOPED AIRMASS INTO THE REGION. THURSDAY WILL LIKELY SEE A BIT
MORE OF A N-S TEMPERATURE GRADIENT AS A SURFACE LOW DEEPENS IN THE
PANHANDLES AND A PSEUDO WARM FRONT POSITIONS ITSELF ACROSS NORTHERN
OK, KEEPING TEMPERATURES IN NORTHERN OK IN THE LOW TO MID 50S.
WARE
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1209 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK EASTWARD ALONG/NEAR THE
RED RIVER THURSDAY NIGHT BRINGING A NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT IN ITS WAKE
FOR FRIDAY. HOWEVER, NOT MUCH AIRMASS CHANGE IS EXPECTED WITH
HIGHS LIKELY SIMILAR TO THOSE ON THURSDAY. UNFORTUNATELY, RAIN
CHANCES CONTINUE TO LOOK SLIM TO NONE WITH THIS SYSTEM.
DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THEN LOOK TO CONTINUE
THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS WESTERLY MID-UPPER FLOW IS
MAINTAINED ACROSS THE REGION. HIGHS BY SUNDAY ARE LIKELY TO REACH
BACK INTO THE 60S AND 70S WITH BREEZY SOUTH WINDS.
WARE
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 956 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND SOMEWHAT VARIABLE THROUGH THE NIGHT,
BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY DURING THE DAY TOMORROW. VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PERSIST.
DAY
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 53 32 59 35 / 0 0 0 0
HOBART OK 55 28 61 31 / 0 0 0 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 56 30 62 35 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 58 24 61 27 / 0 0 0 0
PONCA CITY OK 52 27 57 29 / 0 0 0 0
DURANT OK 51 34 61 37 / 0 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
NEAR TERM...08
SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....08
AVIATION...14
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