851
FXUS64 KOUN 040957
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
457 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 452 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
- SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH STORMS ALONG A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO SOUTHERN OK AND
NORTHERN TX INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
- DRY CONDITIONS AND COOLER, SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
SATURDAY AND INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
- BECOMING WINDY BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK INCREASING FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1040 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2026
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH ACROSS OUR COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. A
SEVERE & FLOODING RISK FOR STORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. BEHIND THE FRONT THERE
ARE CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR
CWA UNTIL SUNRISE.
SHORT TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1040 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2026
RAIN SHOWERS BEHIND FRIDAY NIGHTS STORM SYSTEM WILL BE RESTRICTED
MAIN TO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA DURING THE LATTER HALF OF SATURDAY
MORNING. OTHERWISE, A COOLER AIR MASS SETTLES IN THIS WEEKEND WITH
HIGHS IN THE 60S ON SATURDAY ALTHOUGH BECOMING MORE SEASONABLY
NORMAL ON SUNDAY WITH LOWER TO MID-70S HIGHS. HIGH SURFACE PRESSURE
BUILDS IN SATURDAY WITH LIGHT NORTH WINDS ALTHOUGH THE SURFACE HIGH
TRACKS EAST ON SUNDAY PRODUCING A LIGHT NORTHEAST WIND SHIFT.
ALTHOUGH MAY SEE SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS SATURDAY NIGHT, IT WILL BE
COLDER SATURDAY & SUNDAY NIGHTS FROM RADIATIONAL COOLING WITHIN OUR
COOLER AIR MASS.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1040 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2026
OUR UPPER TROUGH STARTS MOVING OUT/EASTWARD ON MONDAY AS OUR UPPER
FLOW BECOMES ZONAL INTO MID-WEEK KEEPING OUR WEATHER QUIET. A WEAK
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MAY MOVE THROUGH OUR UPPER FLOW WHICH COULD PRODUCE
SOME RAIN ACROSS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. SOUTH
WINDS MAKE A SLOW RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK BECOMING MUCH STRONGER BY
MID-WEEK BECOMING WINDY ON WEDNESDAY. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ON
WEDNESDAY AND INCREASING DRY AND LOWERING AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL
START INCREASING FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO ELEVATED ON BOTH
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AFTERNOONS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 452 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
MFR/VFR CEILINGS THIS TAF PERIOD. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME
GUSTY THIS MORNING BUT GRADUALLY DECREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON
BECOMING LIGHT THIS EVENING AS SFC HIGH SETTLES INTO THE REGION.
SHOWERS/STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE OUT OF THE AREA THIS
MORNING WITH RAIN ENDING FROM NW TO SE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 64 41 69 43 / 20 0 0 0
HOBART OK 69 39 72 42 / 0 0 0 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 68 42 71 43 / 40 0 0 0
GAGE OK 67 35 73 42 / 0 0 0 0
PONCA CITY OK 63 37 68 41 / 0 0 0 0
DURANT OK 68 44 70 44 / 90 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR OKZ023>032-035-
037>048-050>052.
TX...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR TXZ086-089-090.
NEAR TERM...68
SHORT TERM...68
LONG TERM....68
AVIATION...25
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