902
FXUS64 KOUN 260410
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1110 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1105 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
- CONDITIONAL BUT POTENTIALLY HIGH-IMPACT STORM CHANCES ACROSS
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING WITH SEVERE/FLOODING POSSIBLE.
- HOTTER AND DRIER INTO THE WEEKEND AND THE WEEK BEYOND.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1235 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
THUNDERSTORMS AND POTENTIAL SEVERE CONVECTION ARE THE MAIN TOPICS
FOR TODAY AND AGAIN TONIGHT. MESOSCALE SECTION HAS THE PERTINENT
DETAILS OF THE FEATURES TO BE WATCHED.
FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS, THERE'S A LITTLE BIT OF A LULL IN THE
ACTION. EVEN SO, THERE WILL BE ECHOES ON RADAR MOST OF THE
AFTERNOON. AREAS IN NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WILL BE
PRIMARY AREA TO WATCH, AS THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY, SHEAR
AND BOUNDARIES ARE MAXIMIZED THERE. HOWEVER, AS THERE ARE SURFACE
BOUNDARIES IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS FROM EARLIER STORMS...SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ANYWHERE WITHIN THE SLIGHT RISK AREA.
RAIN / THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BEGIN IN THE NEXT HOUR IN THE NORTH,
BEFORE DRIFTING WEST AND SOUTH BY THE END OF THE AFTERNOON.
FOX
SHORT TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1235 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
AFTER TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S TODAY, FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
WILL BE DAYS WHERE THE WARMUP WILL BEGIN. HIGHS WILL BE RISE INTO
THE LOWER 90S ON FRIDAY (FOR MOST AREAS) AND INTO THE MID TO UPPER
90S BY SATURDAY. OVER THE PAST WEEK, WE HAVE HAD DEW POINTS IN THE
70S, AND THERE WON'T BE MUCH RELIEF IN THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE,
DESPITE THE CLEARING SKIES. IN OTHER WORDS, THE HUMIDITY WILL BE
BORDERLINE OPPRESSIVE FOR BOTH DAYS, BUT ESPECIALLY ON SATURDAY.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 157 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
THE MAIN LONG-TERM STORY CONTINUES TO BE THE POTENTIAL FOR A
CONSISTENT AND POSSIBLY LONG-DURATION HEATWAVE ACROSS OUR AREA.
GLOBAL, ENSEMBLE, AND AI-BASED GUIDANCE ALL INDICATE AN
AMPLIFICATION OF THE RIDGE TO OUR EAST BEGINNING ON SUNDAY AND
LASTING THROUGH (BEYOND) THE END OF THE LONG-TERM PERIOD. BECAUSE OF
THAT, PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE GOING TO BE SLIM TO NIL DURING THAT
TIMEFRAME. NOT ONLY WILL AIR TEMPERATURES AND HEAT INDICES APPROACH
HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA MOST DAYS, BUT OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE LITTLE
RELIEF, SITTING NEAR 80 IN MOST SPOTS.
MEISTER
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1105 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST AND SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT WITH OTHER STORMS POSSIBLY IMPACTING NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS BEFORE GRADUALLY DISSIPATING.
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY EVENING WITH STRONGER SOUTH WINDS DEVELOPING DURING THE DAY
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA, LIGHTER ACROSS THE NORTH. SOME CHANCE TO
SEE ADDITIONAL STORMS FRIDAY EVENING IN THE NORTHWEST, IMPACTING
WWR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 75 93 77 95 / 50 10 10 10
HOBART OK 74 96 76 99 / 50 10 10 10
WICHITA FALLS TX 76 97 77 99 / 10 10 10 0
GAGE OK 67 90 71 101 / 80 0 30 0
PONCA CITY OK 70 88 73 92 / 60 10 20 10
DURANT OK 77 92 78 94 / 0 10 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR OKZ004>013-019-020-026.
TX...NONE.
NEAR TERM...21
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...30
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