436
FXUS64 KOUN 270626
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
126 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 126 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
- STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
- MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
FOR FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA.
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS NEXT WEEK.
NEAR TERM
(THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 126 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
GIVEN STRONG LOW-LEVEL WAA (RAP) CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY MORNING
AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING H500 SPEED MAX, STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
POSSIBLE. WE WILL MAINTAIN THE FLOOD WATCH OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH-
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THROUGH 7 AM AS A PRECAUTION. THE COMPLEX ENTERING
OUR AREA FROM THE PANHANDLES SHOULD EXIT OUR FORECAST AREA BEFORE OR
NEAR DAWN.
DURING THE DAY, THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD INTO KANSAS
AS A WARM FRONT AND TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ACROSS THE FA INTO THE
MID-90'S AND LOW 100'S. HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE INTO
THE TRIPLE DIGITS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. HREF HAS HIGH PROBABILITIES OF
HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA
AND ADJACENT NORTH TEXAS. HOWEVER, CAMS HAVE NOT HANDLED ONGOING
CONVECTION VERY WELL AND THERE IS UNCERTAINTY ON WHETHER THESE HEAT
INDICES WILL BE REACHED IF SHOWERS/STORMS LINGER ON SATURDAY
MORNING.
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING ACROSS FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA AHEAD OF A DIFFUSE
DRYLINE. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.
THOMPSON
SHORT TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 126 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH RECORD WARM LOW TEMPERATURES
POSSIBLE ON BOTH SUNDAY MORNING AND MONDAY MORNING. BREEZY SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL HELP MITIGATE THE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS IN THE SHORT
TERM.
THOMPSON
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 126 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS TOWARDS THE END OF THE
WEEK, WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED. AIR TEMPERATURES CREEP UPWARDS
MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK AND TEMPERATURES OF 100 TO 105 DEGREES
ARE FORECAST TO BE WIDESPREAD BY NEXT WEEKEND.
THOMPSON
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 431 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED TO IMPACT NORTHERN
INTO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING AND INTO THE
OVERNIGHT. SOME BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CEILINGS APPEAR POSSIBLE
WITH THIS ACTIVITY. BY MORNING PRECIP ENDS AND SKIES GRADUALLY
CLEAR. WINDS WILL DIMINISH ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA, BUT MAY STAY
UP ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA SOUTHWARD INTO WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AREA-WIDE
SATURDAY MORNING WITH SOME GUSTS OVER 30KTS POSSIBLE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 96 79 96 78 / 10 0 0 0
HOBART OK 100 78 100 77 / 0 10 0 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 99 77 98 77 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 102 80 102 80 / 0 0 0 0
PONCA CITY OK 92 79 94 79 / 20 0 0 0
DURANT OK 94 77 95 78 / 0 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR OKZ007-008-013-020.
TX...NONE.
NEAR TERM...01
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...30
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