520
FXUS64 KOUN 060249
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
949 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 147 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
- LOW SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY, MOSTLY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.
- HOT TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH TRIPLE DIGIT
HEAT AND AT LEAST A MODERATE HEAT RISK.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 147 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
HOT TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON WITH HEAT INDICES OVER 105
DEGREES ONCE AGAIN ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. A COLD FRONT ACROSS
NORTHERN OK HAS NOT BROUGHT MUCH IN THE WAY OF RELIEF, THOUGH
INCREASED CLOUDS ARE KEEPING THINGS A COUPLE DEGREES COOLER
COMPARED TO OTHER AREAS. A STRAY SHOWER OR STORM WITH GUSTY WINDS
CAN'T BE RULED OUT ACROSS FAR NORTHERN OK IN THE VICINITY OF THE
FRONT, BUT DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR THE VAST
MAJORITY OF THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.
WARE
SHORT TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 147 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE QUITE SIMILAR TO TODAY, WITH LOW
SHOWER/STORM CHANCES ACROSS NORTHERN OK AND HOT CONDITIONS IN PLACE
AREAWIDE. MODELS HAVE TRENDED LOWER WITH POPS OVER THE LAST COUPLE
DAYS BUT HAVE RETAINED 15-30% CHANCES NORTH OF I-40. WITH EXTENSIVE
DCAPE OVER THE AREA, THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. OTHERWISE, THE REST OF THE AREA CAN EXPECT A
CONTINUATION OF HOT AND DRY WEATHER WITH HEAT INDICES OVER 105
DEGREES EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OK BOTH
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AFTERNOONS.
WARE
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 143 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL MARK THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
THE UPPER RIDGE TRIES TO REASSERT DOMINANCE OVER OUR REGION. AS THE
FRONT WASHES OUT, WE SHOULD SEE DEWPOINTS START TO MIX OUT AGAIN
ALLOWING FOR SLIGHTLY LOWER HEAT INDICES EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DAY
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 949 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
PREVAILING VFR CATEGORY IS EXPECTED DURING THE UPCOMING PERIOD.
WHILE VERY LOW (<20%) CHANCE FOR RAIN/THUNDER EXISTS NEAR THE
KANSAS/OKLAHOMA BORDER REGION TOWARDS DAYBREAK THURSDAY, A MORE
FOCUSED RISK FOR SCATTERED COVERAGE REMAINS DURING THE AFTERNOON
INTO EVENING HOURS.
A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT, CURRENTLY ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA, MAY
OFFER VARIABLE/CHANGEABLE WIND DIRECTION AT KPNC/KWWR INTO
THURSDAY MORNING AS WELL.
SAFE TRAVELS!
UNGAR
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 77 100 77 100 / 0 10 20 10
HOBART OK 77 102 76 102 / 0 0 10 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 77 102 77 102 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 72 100 73 102 / 10 20 20 20
PONCA CITY OK 76 99 75 98 / 10 20 50 40
DURANT OK 77 100 77 100 / 0 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR OKZ018>020-
024>026-028>032-039>043-045>048-050>052.
TX...NONE.
NEAR TERM...08
SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...09
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