262  
FNUS75 KRIW 191215  
FWSRIW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COFFIN BUTTE RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY  
515 AM MST TUE NOV 19 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 MST ON NOVEMBER 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LIGHT SNOW, WITH MINOR ACCUMULATIONS, WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SITE  
THROUGH THE MORNING AND IS EXPECTED TO END AROUND 1200. LIGHT SNOW  
SHOWERS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, WITH A LOW  
CONFIDENCE (20% AND DROPPING TOWARD 1600). WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS,  
WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH, WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DRY  
AND COLD CONDITIONS WILL BE IN PLACE WEDNESDAY, WITH WIND GUSTS UP  
TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. A WARMING TREND BEGINS THURSDAY, WITH  
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES REACHING THE FREEZING MARK. TEMPERATURES WILL  
BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH WINDS REMAINING AT  
10 MPH OR LESS.  
   
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
   
..HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT  
 
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW IN  
THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 14.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 0800, THEN WEST 7  
TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 19 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000, THEN 4000 FT AGL UNTIL  
1100, THEN 6500 FT AGL UNTIL 1600, THEN 3500 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 18 MPH UNTIL 1000, THEN 23 TO 31 MPH  
UNTIL 1700, THEN AROUND 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900, THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN  
THE AFTERNOON UNTIL 1500, THEN DECREASING TO POOR  
BY 1700.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3.  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........60 55 60 65 60 65 75 75 60 45 40 50  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 50 50 30 30 30 10 10 10 20 20  
TEMP............3 3 3 6 9 10 11 13 14 13 13 11  
RH..............83 83 83 76 73 71 69 63 60 60 63 73  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 7 8 10 12 13 13 12 12 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10 11 13 16 18 19 19 18 18 16 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.5 2.5 4.0 6.0 6.5 6.5 6.0 5.0 3.5 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 14 18 23 26 29 31 30 28 24 16  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2  
SDSPL KT-FT/100015 13 16 43 84 136 159 179 155 125 78 26  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 5 ABOVE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH UNTIL 0300, THEN LIGHT.  
GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 16 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 22 MPH UNTIL 0400, THEN AROUND 12  
MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
HAINES INDEX........2.  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........45 40 40 35 25 20 20 15 10 10 5 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............8 8 8 9 8 9 8 8 7 7 6 7  
RH..............78 78 79 79 77 73 74 73 74 73 71 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 10 14 12 9 8 7 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 16 21 18 14 13 11 10 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 17 18 22 20 16 15 14 13 12 12  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
SDSPL KT-FT/100024 18 18 20 23 21 17 16 15 13 12 12  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 0900, THEN WEST 7 TO 12 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100, THEN 3500 FT AGL UNTIL  
1700, THEN 1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 21 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN 23 TO 29 MPH  
UNTIL 1600, THEN 14 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, THEN FAIR EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON UNTIL 1600,  
THEN POOR.  
HAINES INDEX........2.  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........10 10 10 10 15 20 30 35 45 45 45 40  
WEATHER COV..... CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... SN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 30  
TEMP............7 8 11 17 21 26 27 29 30 29 27 26  
RH..............63 62 63 55 52 49 51 52 54 59 64 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 9 10 11 11 12 11 9 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 11 14 16 17 17 18 17 14 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.0 2.5 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 17 21 24 25 28 29 23 18 14  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
SDSPL KT-FT/100013 13 13 28 44 64 71 82 90 59 37 20  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
THURSDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN  
THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.  
LIGHT WINDS.  
 
 
FORECASTER...ROWE  
REQUESTED BY...GRANT MARTIN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2426925.0/RIW  
.DELDT 11/19/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GRANT.MARTIN@USDA.GOV,JOHN.ELLINGTON@USDA.GOV  
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