392  
FNUS75 KRIW 012024  
FWSRIW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR KINKY CREEK...USWFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY  
224 PM MDT WED JUL 1 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON JULY 02.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
THURSDAY WILL BE MUCH A REPEAT OF WEDNESDAY, WITH SIMILAR  
TEMPERATURES, HUMIDITY, AND SHOWER/STORM CHANCES. SOUTHERLY WINDS  
UNDER 10 MPH START THE MORNING, TURNING TO BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST BY  
1100. WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH THEN OCCUR THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, WITH  
GUSTS UP TO AROUND 20 MPH POSSIBLE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
BE AROUND, WITH 20 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCES OF A SHOWER OR STORM OVER  
THE SITE BETWEEN 1200 AND 1700, WITH LINGERING 15 PERCENT CHANCES  
THROUGH 2000. OUTFLOW GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARD WITH STORMS,  
WHICH COULD BE UP TO 60 MPH, THOUGH WOULD MORE LIKELY BE AROUND 40  
MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL AND MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE BEST BETWEEN 1100  
AND 1500. THURSDAY NIGHT, WINDS LIGHTEN TO AROUND 5 MPH FROM THE  
SOUTH. LOOKING AHEAD, FRIDAY IS AGAIN A SIMILAR DAY, WITH THIS  
HOLIDAY WEEKEND TRENDING WARMER AND DRIER.  
   
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
 
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) AFTER 1200. CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 1200 AND 2000.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1000, THEN SOUTHWEST  
10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1500, THEN SOUTH  
15 TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000, INCREASING TO AROUND 8000 FT  
AGL BETWEEN 1100 AND 1300, THEN DECREASING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600, THEN GOOD.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........30 25 20 30 40 35 45 75 65 70 70 65  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 0 20 30 30 30 30 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 20 30 30 30 30 20  
TEMP............35 38 46 53 61 62 63 65 63 63 60 58  
RH..............73 71 58 47 41 39 39 36 37 40 46 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S SW SW SW SW S S SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 8 9 9 10 9 13 10 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 7 10 10 12 13 13 14 13 18 14 11  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW S S S SW SW SW SW S S SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..15 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 5.0 7.5 8.0 6.5 7.0 6.5 5.5 5.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 13 14 17 20 20 18 20 21 17 17  
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 6 8 21 71 126 140 101 119 117 85 76  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) AFTER 0100. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 1800 TO 2100.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........82-86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
15 MPH UNTIL 2200, THEN SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY  
IN THE EVENING.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2100, THEN SOUTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000, THEN 500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 2300, THEN SOUTH  
AROUND 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2300.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........75 60 55 60 65 70 60 50 25 45 35 50  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............55 53 49 45 42 40 39 39 39 37 37 37  
RH..............56 57 70 79 82 84 85 81 80 81 78 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 11 11 10 8 7 6 6 6 6 6  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W SW S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.0 4.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW S S SE S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 10 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 9 8  
SDSPL KT-FT/100053 34 14 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 1200 AND 2300.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37-41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN SOUTHWEST  
8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1700, THEN WEST.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900, INCREASING TO AROUND  
9000 FT AGL BETWEEN 1200 AND 1600, THEN DECREASING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN WEST 15  
TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100, THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600, THEN GOOD.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........55 30 25 15 25 35 45 45 50 50 50 50  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 30 30 30 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 30 30 30  
TEMP............36 39 45 52 57 61 63 64 65 65 64 62  
RH..............81 78 66 52 45 42 41 39 38 39 41 45  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 4 6 6 8 9 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 10 11 14 16 18 18 18 18 19 19  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 2.0 3.5 5.5 7.0 9.0 8.5 7.5 6.5 6.0 5.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW W W W SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 10 12 14 15 17 17 17 17 16 15  
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 6 19 34 64 93 136 124 113 101 84 69  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
INDEPENDENCE DAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS  
7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...WITTMANN  
REQUESTED BY...IDAHO TEAM 1  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2616270.6/RIW  
.DELDT 07/01/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BDYER@BLM.GOV,WYTDC@FIRENET.GOV,2026.KINKYCREEK@FIRENET.GOV  
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