580  
FNUS75 KRIW 101039  
FWSRIW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR KINKY CREEK...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY  
439 AM MDT FRI JUL 10 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON JULY 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TODAY WILL BE A WARMER DAY THAN YESTERDAY. A MAINLY CLEAR SKY IN  
THE MORNING WILL BE FOLLOWED BY MORE CLOUD BUILD UP AFTER 1200.  
THERE IS JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR A STRAY AFTERNOON SHOWER OR  
THUNDERSTORM, MAINLY BETWEEN 1400 TO 1800. THE CHANCE IS ONLY  
AROUND 20 PERCENT THOUGH. ANY STORM WILL HAVE LITTLE RAIN, WITH  
A ZERO PERCENT CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN. WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH WILL  
BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM. A SOUTHWEST BREEZE  
DEVELOPS THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE AFTER 1300.  
MIXING AND SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BECOME GOOD TO VERY GOOD AFTER  
MORNING INVERSIONS BREAK BETWEEN 1000 AND 1100. MAINLY DRY AND  
HOT WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND, WITH A GUSTY BREEZE POSSIBLE  
ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.  
   
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
 
 
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS, THEN SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AFTER 1300.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000, RISING TO 10000 FT AGL  
BY 1300.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN 12 TO 13  
MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, BECOMING VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........0 5 5 5 10 15 25 30 35 35 35 55  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20  
TEMP............41 42 53 58 64 68 69 72 73 72 70 69  
RH..............70 67 42 34 30 27 25 23 23 24 26 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 5 6 8 10 12 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 10 11 15 16 18 20 20 15  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 4.5 7.5 9.0 10 11 10 8.0 7.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW W W W W W SW SW SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 10 13 13 13 13 13 12 13  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 4 4 12 41 82 99 111 119 109 81 82  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2000.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 2100, THEN SOUTH 9 TO 10  
MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........35 30 25 25 25 10 5 10 5 5 5 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............65 64 61 57 54 52 51 51 50 49 48 47  
RH..............31 32 40 46 49 50 51 47 47 47 47 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S SW S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 10 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 8 7 7  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW S SW S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...8.0 5.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SE SE S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 8 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 9  
SDSPL KT-FT/100071 39 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200, THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 7  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 12000 FT AGL AFTER  
1600.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 12 MPH UNTIL 1000, THEN WEST 15 TO  
20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1300.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 10 5 5 0 5 5 10 5 5 5 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............46 50 55 62 68 71 74 77 78 79 77 76  
RH..............48 47 41 33 27 23 21 18 16 16 16 16  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 4 5 6 7 7 7 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 10 12 16 18 17 17 18 17 16  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 2.5 5.0 7.5 8.5 10 11 10 12 12  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 12 15 18 20 20 20 20 20 18  
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 6 9 25 67 117 141 172 185 168 207 193  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
SUNDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
MONDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
TUESDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. LIGHT WINDS.  
 

 
FORECASTER...HATTINGS  
REQUESTED BY...RYLAN LYNAM  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2616984.2/RIW  
.DELDT 07/10/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JAMES.HYNES@USDA.GOV,RYLAN.LYNAM@USDA.GOV  
 
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