208
FNUS71 KRLX 101042
FWSRLX
SPOT FORECAST FOR DOUTHARDS CREEK...USFS-MOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
542 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 EST ON NOVEMBER 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A WETTING RAIN IS EXPECTED FOR TODAY, WITH THE RAIN SPREADING FROM
WEST TO EAST DURING THE MORNING, AND CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT.
RAIN TOTALS OF A QUARTER OF AN INCH UP TO HALF AN INCH ARE
FORECAST FOR THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 32 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 TO 11.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........94 95 94 93 93 90 87 84 87 91 94 95
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 30 30
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 20 20 30 40 50 40
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............42 41 40 45 49 52 54 54 55 55 53 53
RH..............63 66 78 71 63 61 57 59 62 65 74 80
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 12 13 14 13 13 13 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7
LVORI...........3 3 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 4
ADI.............4 4 3 4 6 9 11 11 11 10 9 8
HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 29 PERCENT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN DECREASING TO 15
PERCENT EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 7 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 8 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
LVORI...............8.
ADI.................4 TO 7.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........96 98 90 82 75 80 86 92 89 86 83 67
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............20 10 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 20 20
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 40 40 40 40 50 40 40 40 30
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............51 50 49 49 50 50 50 51 52 52 52 52
RH..............87 94 99 100 99 99 100 99 98 98 99 97
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 16 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8
LVORI...........6 6 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 6
ADI.............4 4 4 4 4 5 6 7 7 7 7 7
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
VETERANS DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................9 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................10 TO 32.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........52 40 29 23 16 14 13 11 8 4 1 2
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............52 51 52 56 58 60 62 62 62 62 60 57
RH..............95 94 99 88 80 70 61 54 51 51 54 59
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 18 20 22 22 21 20 19 18 18 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 1.0 1.9 2.3 2.4 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.2 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 7
LVORI...........6 6 7 4 3 3 1 1 2 2 2 2
ADI.............10 10 11 22 28 29 31 32 28 27 23 15
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 3
FORECASTER...JZ
REQUESTED BY...AMANDA SHOAF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2426202.0/RLX
.DELDT 11/10/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SUSAN.GREENLEAF@USDA.GOV,PAMACC@FIRENET.GOV,GEORGE.HRUBY@USDA.GOV,AMANDA.SHOAF@USDA.GOV,COLLEEN.URFFER@USDA.GOV
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