127
FNUS71 KRLX 102231
FWSRLX
SPOT FORECAST FOR HIGHLAND FIRE...WV-NRP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
531 PM EST SUN NOV 10 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 EST ON NOVEMBER 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A WETTING RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH THE RAIN SPREADING FROM WEST TO EAST
THROUGH TONIGHT. RAIN TOTALS OF A QUARTER OF AN INCH UP TO SLIGHTLY
OVER AN INCH ARE FORECAST FOR THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. RAINFALL ACTIVITY
IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE HIGHLAND FIRE AREA AROUND 11 PM TONIGHT.
MAINLY DRY WEATHER RETURNS MONDAY, AND THEN CONTINUES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY TRAVERSES NORTH OF THE REGION
FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK SECONDARY COLD FRONT EARLY ON
TUESDAY, WHICH COULD BRING A FEW LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS TO THE
MOUNTAINS. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD RAIN IS WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY, AS ANOTHER SYSTEM CROSSES THE REGION.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................19 PERCENT DECREASING TO 9 PERCENT EARLY IN THE
EVENING, THEN INCREASING TO 23 PERCENT LATE IN
THE EVENING INCREASING TO 51 PERCENT LATE IN
THE EVENING INCREASING TO 73 PERCENT DECREASING
TO 60 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM DECREASING TO 46
PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 17
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 8
TO 9 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................7 TO 11.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........96 96 97 99 100 98 97 95 95 94 94 91
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC SCH LKY DEF LKY DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............20 10 10 20 50 70 60 70 70 60 60 50
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 30 20 60 80 70 80 70 70 70 60
LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1
TEMP............54 55 55 55 55 56 56 56 56 56 56 55
RH..............84 84 89 90 89 90 91 91 92 96 97 97
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW W
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 16 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 12 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 12 12 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 8
LVORI...........4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6
ADI.............11 11 10 10 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
VETERANS DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 7 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 14 MPH.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................10 TO 46.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........88 85 79 73 67 59 51 43 33 23 14 11
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............40 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............55 54 54 55 55 56 57 58 58 57 57 55
RH..............99 97 93 91 89 84 78 69 66 63 61 66
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 9 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 12 13 14 14 16 17 17 17 17 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 1.0 1.3 2.2 2.7 3.2 3.5 3.4 3.3 2.7 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 10 12 12 13 13 14 13 10
LVORI...........8 6 5 5 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 3
ADI.............10 10 12 16 21 26 29 44 44 46 38 15
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
CWR.................3 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 TO 14.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........9 18 43 68 66 68
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............53 49 48 47 45 42
RH..............71 79 85 89 90 93
20 FT WIND......W 7 NW 7 NW 8 NW 9 NW 9 NW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10 14 17 18 18 18
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 500 500 800 1300 1800
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8 NW 7 NW 10 NW 12 NW 12 NW 13
LVORI...........3 4 4 5 5 5
ADI.............5 5 9 10 13 14
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 3
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................16 TO 26.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........63 61 55 49 43 35 27 19 16 13 10 9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............39 38 38 39 40 42 44 45 46 46 45 44
RH..............94 92 90 86 81 75 68 63 61 60 62 65
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 14 13 12 12 11 11 11 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.2 1.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7
LVORI...........5 5 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3
ADI.............19 17 16 24 24 26 22 22 22 22 19 16
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
FORECASTER...ARJ
REQUESTED BY...TOM FIELDEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2426250.0/RLX
.DELDT 11/10/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRANDON_SASSONE-LEVY@NPS.GOV,THOMAS_FIELDEN@NPS.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page