869  
FNUS71 KRLX 111038  
FWSRLX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DOUTHARDS CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV  
538 AM EST MON NOV 11 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 EST ON NOVEMBER 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MAINLY DRY WEATHER RETURNS TODAY, AND THEN CONTINUES THROUGH  
WEDNESDAY, AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY TRAVERSES NORTH OF THE REGION  
FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK SECONDARY COLD FRONT EARLY ON  
TUESDAY, WHICH COULD BRING A FEW LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS TO THE  
MOUNTAINS. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD RAIN IS WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
AND THURSDAY, AS ANOTHER SYSTEM CROSSES THE REGION.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN  
THE MORNING. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO 18 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........63 52 44 37 29 22 16 9 6 3 0 1  
WEATHER COV.....SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............52 52 53 56 59 61 62 63 62 62 61 57  
RH..............99 98 100 93 85 74 66 59 57 54 53 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 7 8 9 9 10 10 9 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 17 18 19 21 22 22 21 21 19 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 0.8 1.5 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.0 2.6 2.5 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 6 8 10 14 17 18 16 14 10 9  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
21 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........1 2 7 12 17 15 12 10 9 9 9 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............53 50 49 48 46 45 44 44 42 40 38 37  
RH..............68 74 75 80 84 82 81 80 83 83 83 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 20 21 21 21 21 20 18 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.9 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 10 10 12 12 12 12 10 9 8 7  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN 21 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........26 35 37 40 42 38 33 29 20 12 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............36 35 37 42 45 48 50 52 53 52 51 47  
RH..............81 83 86 73 64 57 52 47 45 45 47 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 17 16 14 13 11 11 10 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
 
 
FORECASTER...JZ  
REQUESTED BY...AMANDA.SHOAF  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2426229.0/RLX  
.DELDT 11/11/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AMANDA.SHOAF@USDA.GOV,ANDREA.WARRICK@USDA.GOV  
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