971
FXUS61 KRLX 090659
AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
259 AM EDT SAT AUG 9 2025
SYNOPSIS
OUTSIDE OF A STRAY AFTERNOON SHOWER OR STORM, MOSTLY DRY
WEATHER PREVAILS INTO NEXT WEEK AMID BUILDING HEAT AND HUMIDITY.
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS THEN RETURN TOWARDS MID WEEK.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
AS OF 245 AM SATURDAY...
WHILE PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP IN SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS EARLY THIS
MORNING, THE PRESENCE OF DRY AIR AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD KEEP
EXTENT FAIRLY LIMITED. ANY FOG THAT DOES FORM WILL QUICKLY
DISSIPATE AFTER SUNRISE.
DURING THE DAY, QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA COURTESY OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND A
RIDGE BUILDING OVERHEAD. MEANWHILE, A SLOW BUT STEADY WARMING
TREND SHOULD SEND HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE 70S TO MID 80S IN
THE MOUNTAINS AND MID 80S TO LOW 90S IN THE LOWLANDS THIS
AFTERNOON.
CALM, DRY, AND MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR
TONIGHT WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS RANGING FROM MID 50S TO 60S.
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
AS OF 245 AM SATURDAY...
HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD CONTINUE TO FOSTER DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE BULK OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK. THAT BEING SAID, A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM THE
SOUTHEAST MAY ALLOW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS TO SPROUT UP
ALONG THE MOUNTAINS, PARTICULARLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS ON MONDAY.
EXPECT HOT TEMPERATURES EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH MUCH OF THE LOWLANDS
LIKELY TO REACH HIGHS IN THE LOW 90S EACH AFTERNOON. DESPITE A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN HUMIDITY, APPARENT TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL
SHORT OF HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
AS OF 245 AM SATURDAY...
CHANCES OF MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION RETURN TO THE AREA BY MID
WEEK AS HEAT AND HUMIDITY INCREASE AND UPPER RIDGING RECEDES.
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK
AS A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVES PASS OVERHEAD AND AN APPROACHING FRONT
STALLS TO THE NORTH.
AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
AS OF 130 AM SATURDAY...
PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS
EARLY THIS MORNING, THOUGH LIGHT WIND AND DRY AIR SHOULD HELP
TO LIMIT EXTENT. MVFR OR WORSE CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WILL BE
POSSIBLE WHEREVER FOG DOES OCCUR, THEN CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
ONCE FOG DISSIPATES BETWEEN 12-14Z. VFR IS THEN EXPECTED ACROSS
THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE DAY.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE DAY. AFTER
00Z, FLOW BECOMES CALM TO LIGHT AND SOUTHEASTERLY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM TO HIGH.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: EXTENT AND INTENSITY OF FOG MAY VARY FROM
THE FORECAST.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
DATE SAT 08/09/25
UTC 1HRLY 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
EDT 1HRLY 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
EKN CONSISTENCY H M H L L M M M M L H H
PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H M L H H H H H
AFTER 06Z SUNDAY...
IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN VALLEY FOG SUNDAY MORNING.
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...NONE.
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
VA...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...ARJ
NEAR TERM...20
SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM...20
AVIATION...20
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