176
FXUS61 KRLX 121639
AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1139 AM EST WED NOV 12 2025
SYNOPSIS
WINDY TODAY. MOSTLY DRY THROUGH FRIDAY. NEXT CHANCES FOR RAIN
WILL BE THIS WEEKEND.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/
AS OF 1130 AM WEDNESDAY...
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. A WIND ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHERN WEST
VIRGINIA MOUNTAINS THROUGH 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH WINDS
WILL CALM DOWN A BIT FOR THE LOWLANDS, WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45
MPH WILL CONTINUE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHERN WEST
VIRGINIA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA, BRINGING DRY
WEATHER THROUGH THURSDAY.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
AS OF 320 AM WEDNESDAY...
DRY WEATHER PERSISTS THURSDAY AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE DECREASING
GRADUALLY THROUGH THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. A SHALLOW WARM
SECTOR WILL ONLY ALLOW FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN IN THE
50S ACROSS THE LOWLANDS. THE MOUNTAINS WILL BE IN THE 30S AND
40S.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT WARMER FRIDAY WITH MUCH OF THE
LOWLANDS, PARTICULARLY THE TRI-STATE AREA, SEEING TEMPERATURES
REACH THE 60S AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS HITTING
THE 40S. THE FIRST PART OF FRIDAY WILL BE MOSTLY DRY, BUT A
FRONT IS PROGGED TO MOVE UP FROM THE DEEP SOUTH DURING THE DAY.
CHANCES FOR RAIN RETURN FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT SPREADING
OUT FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. ANY RAINFALL THAT MAY OCCUR
WOULD MORE THAN LIKELY BE OVERNIGHT AND AMOUNTS WOULD BE LIGHT.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
AS OF 330 AM WEDNESDAY...
THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT DURING
THE DAY SATURDAY. CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA
THIS WEEKEND DUE TO THIS FEATURE AND A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
PASS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
MONDAY LOOKS TO BE DRIER AND A BIT COOLER (TEMPERATURES AROUND
NORMAL) THOUGH AS A REINFORCING COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
HOWEVER, PRECIPITATION MAY MOVE BACK IN TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY
WITH ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH.
AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
AS OF 1130 AM WEDNESDAY...
VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. HOWEVER,
EXPECT WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 50 MPH ON THE HIGHER RIDGES OF THE
NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS OF
20 TO 35 MPH IN THE LOWLANDS. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL CALM DOWN A
BIT FOR THE LOWLANDS TONIGHT, WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WILL
CONTINUE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
MOUNTAINS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: HIGH.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: NONE.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04
EST 1HRLY 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 18Z THURSDAY...
NO WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS ARE IN THE FORECAST.
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR WVZ523-526.
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
VA...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...RPY
NEAR TERM...RPY
SHORT TERM...LTC
LONG TERM...LTC
AVIATION...RPY
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page