407  
FNUS71 KRLX 162211  
FWSRLX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG RIDGE UNIT 40...WAYNE NATIONAL FOREST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV  
511 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON NOVEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY WITH A MODEST AFTERNOON BREEZE  
OF 8 TO 10 MPH AND OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH DURING THE LATE  
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, TAPERING OFF BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO  
THE EVENING HOURS. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE  
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.  
 
A WETTING RAIN IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY TUESDAY CONTINUING INTO  
TUESDAY NIGHT, THIS PRECIPITATION MAY BEGIN AS SOME VERY LIGHT  
SNOW MONDAY NIGHT.  
 
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING  
LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................2 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 67 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........3 4 3 4 3 3 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............41 43 45 46 47 46 43  
RH..............47 39 33 30 30 34 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 15 18 15 10 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.6 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 14 15 14 10  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 2  
ADI.............52 54 56 63 67 60 12  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 1 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 0  
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................0 TO 3.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........12 16 19 22 24 28 31 35 43 51 59 70  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............40 40 35 33 33 32 32 31 31 30 30 31  
RH..............50 53 68 74 76 79 80 81 83 84 84 83  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LVORI...........2 2 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6  
ADI.............3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 

 
FORECASTER...JP  
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY WAITE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2526058.0/RLX  
.DELDT 11/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JEREMY.WAITE@USDA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab WV Page
The Nexlab OH Page
The Nexlab KY Page
The Nexlab VA Page Main Text Page