497  
FNUS71 KRLX 162218  
FWSRLX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG RIDGE UNIT 40...USFS WAYNE NATIONAL FOREST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV  
518 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON NOVEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA INTO MONDAY MORNING,  
BUT NOT AS STRONGLY AS COMPARED TO SUNDAY, PARTICULARLY ACROSS  
PARTS OF SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA, NORTHEAST KENTUCKY, AND ADJACENT  
SOUTHEAST OHIO COUNTIES. LOW MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN  
ON MONDAY UNDER SUNNY SKIES AND WITH NO RAIN CHANCES.  
 
HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AS THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES  
INTO THE AREA, WITH A FEW SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT  
MONDAY NIGHT, BEFORE CHANGING TO RAIN DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY.  
 
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................50 LATE IN THE MORNING, INCREASING TO 65 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........3 4 3 4 3 3 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............41 43 45 46 47 46 43  
RH..............45 38 33 31 30 33 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 5 5 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 12 12 11 10 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.6 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 14 15 14 11  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 2  
ADI.............51 54 56 63 66 60 12  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY, GOING CALM OVERNIGHT.  
LVORI...............2 IN THE EVENING, INCREASING TO 6 AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
ADI.................0 TO 3.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........10 15 20 25 25 30 30 35 45 50 60 70  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............40 40 35 33 33 32 32 31 31 30 30 31  
RH..............50 53 68 74 76 79 80 81 83 84 85 83  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LVORI...........2 2 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6  
ADI.............3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
 
FORECASTER...FK  
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY WAITE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2526058.0/RLX  
.DELDT 11/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JEREMY.WAITE@USDA.GOV  
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