839  
FNUS71 KRLX 291802  
FWSRLX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG RIDGE RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV  
202 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MARCH 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
VERY DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CREATE AN ELEVATED FIRE  
DANGER THIS AFTERNOON WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE LOW TO MID  
TEENS TO MID 20S, AND WIND GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH. A RAPID WARMING  
TREND WILL BEGIN ON MONDAY, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES SOARING INTO  
THE LOW 80S BY TUESDAY. DEW POINTS WILL ALSO SOAR, SO RELATIVE  
HUMIDITIES WILL RISE, MITIGATING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. SO WILL AN  
INCREASING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS, WITH LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS ALSO  
BECOMING A POSSIBILITY BY TUESDAY.  
 
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................18 PERCENT DECREASING TO 8 PERCENT IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 25  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (86100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................9 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 69 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........80 73 75 69 66 75 77 69 77 75  
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH  
CWR.............20 10 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 20  
TEMP............53 54 57 60 63 64 66 67 68 69  
RH..............72 72 71 70 63 60 56 55 54 53  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 16 17 18 18 19 19 20 19 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.9 3.2 3.9 3.8 3.4 3.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 10 14 18 22 24 25 24 22 18  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............9 16 25 37 51 60 69 65 56 45  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 12 22 35 55 75 86 82 68 51  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD FR  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................11 PERCENT INCREASING TO 19 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO 6 PERCENT  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...22 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 22 MPH LATE IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (33600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................4 TO 19.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........70 69 75 81 69 58 58 58 58 60 63 65  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 40 40 40 40 40 40 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10  
TEMP............69 68 67 65 64 63 62 62 61 61 61 61  
RH..............55 59 64 68 71 72 75 77 79 80 81 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 16 14 14 14 16 16 17 17 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 1.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 9 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 10 12 13  
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4  
ADI.............19 10 4 4 6 7 7 8 8 9 13 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..34 17 5 1 3 6 7 8 10 12 14 15  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................6 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...14 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 31 TO 35  
MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (104500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (136800  
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................17 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 146 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........65 63 59 46  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 0 0 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10  
TEMP............60 63 72 79  
RH..............81 75 62 48  
20 FT WIND......SW 7G18 SW 9G19 SW 10G24 SW 12G25  
MIX HGT (FT)....1300 1700 3800 5800  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12 SW 17 SW 31 SW 35  
LVORI...........3 3 1 1  
ADI.............17 30 84 112  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 28 105 166  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR VYGD EXNT  
 

 
FORECASTER...TRM  
REQUESTED BY...SAM DAUGHERTY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2608366.0/RLX  
.DELDT 03/29/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SAMUEL.DAUGHERTY@USDA.GOV  
 
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