188
FNUS71 KRLX 291913
FWSRLX
SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG RIDGE RX 41/47...USFS WAYNE NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
313 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MARCH 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
VERY DRY AIR AND BREEZY WINDS MAINTAIN AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER INTO
THIS EVENING, WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE TEENS TO MID 20S, AND
WIND GUSTS 15 TO 25 MPH.
A WARMING BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON GETS STYMIED BY CLOUDS AND A FEW
SHOWERS MONDAY, BEFORE RESUMING TUESDAY, WHEN HIGH TEMPERATURES SOAR
INTO THE 80S. WITH RISING DEW POINTS, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS BECOME
MINIMAL STARTING MONDAY.
THE WARMER WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH THE BALANCE OF THE WEEK, BUT
THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO INCREASE MIDWEEK,
WITH THE WEATHER REMAINING ACTIVE THE BALANCE OF THE WEEK.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................18 PERCENT DECREASING TO 8 PERCENT IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...14 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 25
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (87000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................9 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 70 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........80 72 75 69 66 76 77 71 78 76
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............20 10 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 20 10 10 10 20 20 20 20
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............53 54 56 60 62 64 66 67 68 69
RH..............74 72 73 70 64 60 56 55 54 54
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.14 16 17 18 18 19 19 20 19 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.9 3.3 4.0 3.8 3.4 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 10 14 18 22 24 25 24 22 18
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............9 16 25 38 52 60 70 65 55 45
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 13 23 36 56 76 87 82 68 50
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD FR
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................18 PERCENT DECREASING TO 6 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...21 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 22 MPH LATE IN THE
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (33700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4 TO 19.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........69 68 75 81 69 57 57 57 56 59 62 65
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 40 40 40 40 40 40 20 20 20 20
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10
TEMP............69 68 67 65 64 63 62 62 61 61 61 61
RH..............55 59 65 68 71 72 74 76 77 78 78 79
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.18 16 14 14 14 16 16 17 17 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 1.7 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 10 7 6 7 8 10 13 14 14 14 13
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
ADI.............19 12 5 4 6 7 9 11 12 15 15 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..34 17 6 2 3 7 10 13 16 16 16 16
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...14 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 31 TO 35
MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (106100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (138400
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................19 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 146 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........64 64 63 62 62 61 59 56 54 45 37 28
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............60 60 61 63 66 69 71 74 76 78 80 80
RH..............80 81 80 76 72 67 62 58 53 49 46 44
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 9 9 10 10 12 12 12 12 10
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 19 21 22 24 24 25 25 24 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.3 1.4 1.7 2.3 2.9 3.9 4.8 5.5 5.8 5.7 5.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 14 18 24 29 31 33 33 35 33 31
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............19 19 22 33 50 68 85 101 107 113 146 131
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 12 17 30 49 74 106 138 161 168 161 141
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL VGD
FORECASTER...TRM
REQUESTED BY...SAM DAUGHERTY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608374.0/RLX
.DELDT 03/29/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SAMUEL.DAUGHERTY@USDA.GOV
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