484
FNUS71 KRLX 302349
FWSRLX
SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG RIDGE RX UNIT 37/38/46/49...USFS WAYNE NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
749 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1900 EDT ON MARCH 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR STORM ON TUESDAY, MAINLY
IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS, HOWEVER, THE CHANCE FOR A WETTING RAIN
REMAINS LOW.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BECOME LIGHTER AFTER SUNSET,
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST, AND GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH, ALTHOUGH AN
OCCASIONAL GUST IN THE TEENS IS POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL
HOWEVER INCREASE AGAIN AFTER 9 AM TO 10 AM TUESDAY, WITH WINDS GUSTING
INTO THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 20 MPH RANGE AT TIMES.
MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL GENERALLY BOTTOM OUT IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40 PERCENT RANGE.
A COLD FRONT WILL TRY TO PUSH INTO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY
BEFORE RETREATING BACK NORTHWARD, CREATING THE HIGHEST CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION FOR THAT DAY, WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED.
THERE IS UNCERTAINTY IN TERMS OF TIMING AND HOW WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE, BUT AT THIS POINT, TIMING
LOOKS MOST FAVORABLE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. AN OCCASIONAL GUST
IN THE LOWER TO MID TEENS IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (33700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 TO 13.
TIME (EDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........68 45 34 33 33 27 29 40 50 64 70
WEATHER COV.....SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............71 69 67 66 65 64 63 62 62 61 61
RH..............51 55 62 67 67 69 73 73 75 77 79
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 16 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 7 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4
ADI.............13 5 3 5 5 5 6 6 8 8 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..34 5 0 0 5 5 6 6 7 8 8
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 23 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 29
MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (102800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (119600
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 127 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........69 71 75 70 66 65 54 55 51 47 46 40
WEATHER COV..... SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RN
TSTM COV........ SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 10 10 10
TEMP............60 61 61 63 66 69 72 75 76 78 79 79
RH..............80 78 81 76 71 67 62 58 55 49 46 46
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 18 18 19 22 23 23 23 23 22
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.9 1.0 1.8 2.4 2.9 4.0 4.7 5.2 5.5 5.8 5.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 8 13 18 24 26 26 26 28 29 28
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............10 8 11 23 39 57 73 79 82 119 127 121
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 3 7 21 40 61 82 103 120 137 146 138
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................6 PERCENT INCREASING TO 14 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...19 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
19 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 14
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (101300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (12400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT DECREASING TO FAIR (13700 KNOT-FT) EARLY
IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO POOR (300 KNOT-FT)
LATE IN THE NIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................5 TO 31.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........48 55 34 33 43 53 53 54 55 60 65 71
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 20 20 20 10 10 10 20 20 20 20
TEMP............80 78 76 73 71 70 69 68 67 66 66 65
RH..............45 47 50 55 58 60 63 65 67 70 73 76
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.19 18 16 17 17 17 18 18 17 17 17 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 2.4 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 17 12 9 8 8 10 13 14 13 9 7
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4
ADI.............31 23 8 6 7 7 9 11 12 11 8 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..101 53 12 0 1 7 9 12 14 12 9 6
VENTRATE CAT....VGD FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...SL
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY WAITE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608601.0/RLX
.DELDT 03/30/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JEREMY.WAITE@USDA.GOV
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