223
FNUS71 KRLX 311120
FWSRLX
SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG RIDGE 37, 38, 46, 49...USFS WAYNE NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
720 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON MARCH 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ALTHOUGH THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR STORM THIS AFTERNOON,
THE PROBABILITY OF A WETTING RAIN IS LOW. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
STRENGTHEN DURING THE DAY, WITH GUSTS INTO THE 20S POSSIBLE AT TIMES.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE
40S THIS AFTERNOON.
BETTER CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES ON WEDNESDAY; HOWEVER, EXTENT OF PRECIPITATION
REMAINS UNCERTAIN AS THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO RETREAT BACK TO THE NORTH
BEFORE REACHING THE AREA.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
CWR.................3 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 21 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 30
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (86200 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (109500
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 106 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........78 78 77 71 68 59 50 55 58 61 54
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 10 0 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 10 0 10 10 10
TEMP............60 61 63 67 69 72 75 76 78 79 79
RH..............83 79 78 71 68 63 57 54 51 48 46
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.18 17 18 18 19 20 21 21 21 21 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.0 2.1 2.5 3.3 3.9 4.7 5.4 5.6 6.0 6.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 13 17 22 24 26 28 29 30 29
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............7 11 32 38 55 66 106 87 92 99 95
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 8 21 41 63 86 110 129 148 158 151
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD EXL EXL
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 13 PERCENT OVERNIGHT,
THEN INCREASING TO 32 PERCENT OVERNIGHT
DECREASING TO 24 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...45 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 13
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (111100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO FAIR (14700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT DECREASING TO FAIR (13600 KNOT-FT) EARLY
IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO POOR (100 KNOT-FT)
LATE IN THE NIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4 TO 32.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........49 61 54 56 52 54 60 73 75 71 70 67
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 20 20
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 30 30 30 20 30 50 50 40 40
CHC OF THDR (%).10 20 20 30 30 30 20 30 50 50 40 40
TEMP............79 78 75 73 71 69 69 68 67 65 64 63
RH..............46 48 52 58 61 66 68 71 73 79 81 85
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.19 18 16 17 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.0 1.5 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 18 13 9 8 8 9 12 13 10 8 6
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5
ADI.............32 21 14 8 7 7 8 8 8 7 5 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..111 59 15 1 0 5 8 11 14 12 9 6
VENTRATE CAT....VGD FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE DAY. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 85 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...41 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3 TO
6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 2 TO 7 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 0
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (22000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................0 TO 20.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........75 74 80 80 80 80 80 80 92 92 92 92
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC
CWR.............20 20 60 60 60 60 60 60 90 90 90 90
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 70 70 70 70 70 70 90 90 90 90
CHC OF THDR (%).40 40 40 40 40 30 30 30 20 20 20 40
TEMP............63 62 62 64 67 70 72 74 74 74 73 72
RH..............86 89 88 85 79 73 68 65 63 61 61 62
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.0 0.9 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.7 3.3 3.7 3.3 2.6 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W NW W SW SW SW S N
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 5 3 3 5 6 7 5 2 0
LVORI...........5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 3 3
ADI.............8 7 6 8 7 9 14 20 18 12 5 0
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 4 5 4 4 6 12 19 22 16 7 0
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...20
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY WAITE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608601.0/RLX
.DELDT 03/30/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JEREMY.WAITE@USDA.GOV
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