021  
FNUS71 KRLX 151534  
FWSRLX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SOPHIA TUNNEL FIRE...RALEIGH EMA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV  
1134 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE MAINTAINS ONE MORE DAY OF DRY WEATHER ON TUESDAY  
BEFORE ISOLATED CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RETURN TO THE FORECAST.  
PRECIPITATION THEN INCREASES FOR THURSDAY ONWARD AS A FRONTAL  
BOUNDARY MEANDERS ACROSS THE AREA, BRINGING WITH IT AT LEAST SOME  
STRONG STORM AND HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL AT TIMES.  
 
WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN PREDOMINANTLY OUT OF THE SOUTH TO  
SOUTHEAST, WITH LINGERING GUSTS OF 12 TO 15 MILES PER HOUR DIMINISHING  
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. SURFACE FLOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO GROW CALM OVERNIGHT  
TONIGHT, THEN RETURNING TO A LIGHT AND VARIABLE STATE ON WEDNESDAY.  
SLIGHTLY ABOVE THE SURFACE, TRANSPORT WINDS ARE NOTED TO MAKE A SHIFT  
WESTWARD SHORTLY AFTER 10 AM ON WEDNESDAY MORNING, THEN BECOMING NORTHERLY  
AFTER MIDDAY.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........48 37 39 34 17 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............73 76 80 81 82 82  
RH..............61 57 53 51 50 49  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S S S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.8 6 5 3 3 1  
SURFACE WND GST.14 12 8 7 6 5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 6 6 5  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN BECOMING  
LIGHT AFTER 3 AM.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........18 13 12 12 9 5 4 5 2 16 22 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............80 77 73 69 68 67 65 65 64 63 62 62  
RH..............52 58 67 76 78 79 82 83 83 86 89 90  
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S  
SURFACE WND SPD.1 3 5 6 8 8 8 6 6 5 5 4  
SURFACE WND GST.6 6 10 14 15 15 15 14 13 12 10 9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 5 5  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 2 TO 3  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........27 38 35 29 25 40 44 27 18 44 38 28  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............61 61 63 67 74 78 80 82 84 85 85 84  
RH..............93 95 90 83 71 67 62 57 55 53 52 53  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S S SW W NW NW N N N N  
SURFACE WND SPD.4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 5 4 4 4  
SURFACE WND GST.8 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S W W NW NW N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 3 2 2 2 3 5 6 6 6 5  
 

 
FORECASTER...5  
REQUESTED BY...JOHN ZILINSKI  
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT  
.TAG 2621926.0/RLX  
.DELDT 09/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TABITHA.HORN@RALEIGH911.ORG,JOHN.ZILINSKI@RALEIGH911.ORG  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab WV Page
The Nexlab OH Page
The Nexlab KY Page
The Nexlab VA Page Main Text Page