226
FXUS61 KRLX 241632
AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1232 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
BEYOND SOME TRIVIAL CHANGES TO TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS, THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK.
KEY MESSAGES
1) PLEASANT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO LATE NEXT WEEK, WITH RIVERINE
FOG DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS EACH DAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
SLIGHTLY POSITIVE GEOPOTENTIAL HEIGHTS WILL RESULT IN GRADUALLY
WARMER HIGH TEMPERATURES HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK AS THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD OVER THE CWA. STRONG SUBSIDENCE WILL PERSIST
ALOFT AND MAINTAIN THE DRY AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION. RIVERINE FOG
WILL DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN TONIGHT, BUT WITH LESSER COVERAGE AS DRY AIR
INTRUSION NIXES MORE-WIDESPREAD FOG DEVELOPMENT DURING THE PREDAWN
HOURS EACH DAY. SIGWX NIL UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING, WITH RIVERINE FOG
FORMING BY SUNRISE. FOG WILL DISSIPATE BY 25/14-15Z, WITH CALM,
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: HIGH.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: THE COVERAGE AND EXTENT OF FOG TONIGHT MAY
VARY FROM THE FORECAST.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04
EDT 1HRLY 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00
CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 18Z SUNDAY...
RIVER VALLEY FOG WILL OCCUR EACH MORNING INTO NEXT WEEK.
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...NONE.
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
VA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SINCAVAGE
AVIATION...SINCAVAGE
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