908
FXUS63 KSGF 141941
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
141 PM CST TUE JAN 14 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- OVERNIGHT REFREEZING AND BLACK ICE CONCERNS FOR THE MORNING
COMMUTE CONTINUE FOR MOST OF THE WEEK.
- TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGHS REACH INTO
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
- A 20-50% CHANCE OF RAIN ON FRIDAY FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF
HIGHWAY 65. NO WINTRY PRECIPITATION EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
- HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TEMPERATURES 15 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
BY SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGHS IN THE 20S AND LOWS IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 117 PM CST TUE JAN 14 2025
THE DRY FRONT IS HANGING OUT WEST TO EAST JUST NORTH OF
SPRINGFIELD. AS THAT FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH TODAY, EXPECT
CLOUDS TO FORM ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND PERSIST FOR THE REST OF
THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. DUE TO THIS INCOMING COLD
FRONT, LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE CHILLY DESPITE IT BEING A
PLEASANT DAY TODAY. THERE WILL ALSO BE QUITE THE TEMPERATURE
GRADIENT TONIGHT AS CAA BEGINS TO SETTLE IN. EXPECT LOWS
TONIGHT TO BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN CENTRAL MO AND IN THE 20S
NEAR THE MO/AR BORDER.
DON'T WORRY, WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE ON THE WAY! HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES IN OVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. SOUTHERLY
WINDS MOVE IN BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON ALLOWING US TO REACH THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S ACROSS SOUTHERN MO.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 117 PM CST TUE JAN 14 2025
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S AND 50S
AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. ON FRIDAY, A TROUGH EJECTS OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST, BRINGING RAIN CHANCES TO PARTS OF THE AREA (MOSTLY
ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 65). POPS CURRENTLY SIT AT 20-60% FOR
THOSE AREAS, INCREASING TO THE EAST. QPF ACCUMULATIONS STAY
UNDER 0.25" AND RAIN SHOULD START IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND END WEST TO EAST BY SUNRISE ON SATURDAY.
ADDITIONALLY, SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOME GUSTY AROUND 20 TO 30 MPH
DUE TO THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS
WEST OF HIGHWAY 65.
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES MOVE IN STARTING ON SUNDAY. ENSEMBLES
ARE SHOWING TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES OF 15-25 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL, WHICH EQUATES TO (ROUGHLY) HIGHS IN THE 20S AND LOWS IN
THE TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS. WIND CHILLS DIP BELOW ZERO DURING
THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING TIME PERIODS. THIS PATTERN WILL
CONTINUE FROM SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1123 AM CST TUE JAN 14 2025
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS REMAIN GUSTY UP TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BRINGING A BRIEF MOMENT OF
MVFR CEILINGS AROUND 20Z. SKIES RETURN TO MOSTLY VFR AFTER 00Z
AND WINDS DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. PATCHY FOG MAY OCCUR OVER BBG
OVERNIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND BRING CEILINGS BACK TO
MVFR OVER FAR SOUTHERN MO.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
SHORT TERM...SORIA
LONG TERM...SORIA
AVIATION...SORIA
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