542  
FXUS63 KSGF 150429  
AFDSGF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
1029 PM CST TUE JAN 14 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- OVERNIGHT REFREEZING AND BLACK ICE CONCERNS FOR THE MORNING  
COMMUTE CONTINUE FOR MOST OF THE WEEK.  
 
- TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGHS REACH INTO  
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S BY THE END OF THE WEEK.  
 
- A 20-50% CHANCE OF RAIN ON FRIDAY FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF  
HIGHWAY 65. NO WINTRY PRECIPITATION EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.  
 
- HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TEMPERATURES 15 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL  
BY SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGHS IN THE 20S AND LOWS IN  
THE SINGLE DIGITS.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 117 PM CST TUE JAN 14 2025  
 
THE DRY FRONT IS HANGING OUT WEST TO EAST JUST NORTH OF  
SPRINGFIELD. AS THAT FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH TODAY, EXPECT  
CLOUDS TO FORM ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND PERSIST FOR THE REST OF  
THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. DUE TO THIS INCOMING COLD  
FRONT, LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE CHILLY DESPITE IT BEING A  
PLEASANT DAY TODAY. THERE WILL ALSO BE QUITE THE TEMPERATURE  
GRADIENT TONIGHT AS CAA BEGINS TO SETTLE IN. EXPECT LOWS  
TONIGHT TO BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN CENTRAL MO AND IN THE 20S  
NEAR THE MO/AR BORDER.  
 
DON'T WORRY, WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE ON THE WAY! HIGH PRESSURE  
SETTLES IN OVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. SOUTHERLY  
WINDS MOVE IN BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON ALLOWING US TO REACH THE  
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S ACROSS SOUTHERN MO.  
 
 
   
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 117 PM CST TUE JAN 14 2025  
 
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S AND 50S  
AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. ON FRIDAY, A TROUGH EJECTS OUT OF THE  
SOUTHWEST, BRINGING RAIN CHANCES TO PARTS OF THE AREA (MOSTLY  
ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 65). POPS CURRENTLY SIT AT 20-60% FOR  
THOSE AREAS, INCREASING TO THE EAST. QPF ACCUMULATIONS STAY  
UNDER 0.25" AND RAIN SHOULD START IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON AND  
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND END WEST TO EAST BY SUNRISE ON SATURDAY.  
ADDITIONALLY, SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOME GUSTY AROUND 20 TO 30 MPH  
DUE TO THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS  
WEST OF HIGHWAY 65.  
 
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES MOVE IN STARTING ON SUNDAY. ENSEMBLES  
ARE SHOWING TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES OF 15-25 DEGREES BELOW  
NORMAL, WHICH EQUATES TO (ROUGHLY) HIGHS IN THE 20S AND LOWS IN  
THE TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS. WIND CHILLS DIP BELOW ZERO DURING  
THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING TIME PERIODS. THIS PATTERN WILL  
CONTINUE FROM SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 1029 PM CST TUE JAN 14 2025  
 
MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI  
TONIGHT CLEARING WEDNESDAY MORNING, WITH A FEW PASSING HIGH  
CLOUDS DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS  
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS, THEN WINDS WILL  
BECOME LIGHT AND SWING TO THE EAST AND BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY  
WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS RETURNING BY  
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  
 
 
   
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
KS...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...SORIA  
LONG TERM...SORIA  
AVIATION...WISE  
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