592
FNUS73 KSGF 011010
FWSSGF
SPOT FORECAST FOR BRUSHY CLAYTON A/B...US FOREST SERVICE - USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
510 AM CDT TUE APR 1 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-762-4363, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT IT WILL BE QUITE WINDY TODAY WITH
SOUTHEASTERLY SUSTAINED 20 FT WINDS AT 15-20 MPH AND GUSTS AT
25-35 MPH. NEAREST RAWS SITE HAS OBSERVED GUSTS A BIT EARLIER THAN
ANTICIPATED, WHICH MAY GIVE CREDENCE TO SLIGHTLY HIGHER WIND GUSTS
THIS AFTERNOON THAN CURRENTLY FORECASTED. THESE GUSTY WINDS WILL
SLOWLY PIVOT TO SOUTHWESTERLY BY THE MIDDLE OF WEDNESDAY MORNING,
WITH A DECREASING TREND AFTER NOON.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL NOT BE TOO BAD TODAY. CURRENT
FORECAST IS BETWEEN 30 AND 40%. EVEN OUR MODELS THAT HAVE A VERY
DRY BIAS SHOW MINRHS AROUND 30-35%, SO THIS IS MEDIUM-HIGH
CONFIDENCE. THE ONLY ASPECT THAT GIVES ME PAUSE, IS THIS IS A
DEPARTING SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PATTERN, WHICH USUALLY YIELDS
SLOWER MOISTURE RETURN AND A BIT LOWER DEWPOINTS/RHS. WE WILL
MONITOR, BUT OUR DRIER MODELS STILL HOLD ABOVE 30%.
TODAY
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........65 70 49 23 16 23 34 45 37 40 52 43
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............42 42 42 45 49 52 56 59 62 66 66 66
RH..............82 79 79 73 63 56 51 47 44 38 40 42
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 12 14 15 15 15 16 16 16 17 17
20 FT WIND GUST.21 23 26 26 28 28 28 29 29 30 30 31
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.2 1.8 1.9 2.3 2.7 2.8 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.4
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 20 23 23 24 24 24 26 28 29 29
TRANS WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 9 10 10 11 11 11 12 13 13 13
HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 5 20 36 38 49 56 58 73 81 89 85
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR GD GD GD GD
TONIGHT
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........58 49 63 56 61 85 85 87 88 83 80 76
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 30 40 30 30
TEMP............67 64 63 62 63 63 63 64 62 65 65 64
RH..............43 48 52 58 60 67 75 81 93 87 90 93
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..17 17 16 17 16 17 17 16 16 16 16 17
20 FT WIND GUST.31 31 32 31 31 33 36 36 37 36 35 33
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 1.3 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3
MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.30 24 21 22 22 23 23 24 21 24 28 28
TRANS WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S
TRANS SPD (M/S).13 11 9 10 10 10 10 11 9 11 13 13
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
VRATE KT-FT/1K..83 27 11 12 14 17 17 14 14 22 27 32
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........74 85 85 85 86 89 84 79 79 79 79 68
WEATHER COV.....SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 70 70 70 70 70 70 60 60 60 60 60
TEMP............66 65 64 65 67 69 70 70 72 74 76 75
RH..............84 84 87 90 84 78 79 81 74 65 58 57
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..16 16 16 16 16 16 15 15 15 16 15 13
20 FT WIND GUST.32 35 32 35 37 36 33 31 30 29 26 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.5 3.4 4.4 4.8 4.1
MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 25 28 29 31 32 30 26 28 29 30 28
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANS SPD (M/S).12 11 13 13 14 14 13 12 13 13 13 13
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..34 26 35 47 56 66 62 58 82 110 126 99
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR FR GD GD FR GD VGD VGD GD
FORECASTER...PRICE
REQUESTED BY...JESS REGISTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2508528.1/SGF
.DELDT 04/01/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JESS.REGISTER@USDA.GOV
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