188  
FXUS63 KSGF 041957  
AFDSGF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
257 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- NORMAL SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR HOLIDAY WEEKEND  
WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S AND HEAT INDEX VALUES  
BETWEEN 90 AND 100.  
 
- ISOLATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES (10-30%) ALONG AND  
WEST OF HIGHWAY 65 FOR INDEPENDENCE DAY INTO SATURDAY.  
 
- ADDITIONAL 30-60% RAIN CHANCES SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF  
NEXT WEEK. HIGHEST CHANCES IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENINGS.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 217 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2025  
 
NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. STILL LOOKING AT ISOLATED TO  
SCATTERED (20-30% COVERAGE) SHOWERS AND STORMS MAINLY ALONG AND  
WEST OF HIGHWAY 65 INTO THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT  
AROUND 90 WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE MID 90S.  
 
SATURDAY WILL SEE SLIGHTLY GREATER COVERAGE (20-40%) OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS AS AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE  
NORTHWEST. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S WITH  
HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 90-100.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 217 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2025  
 
THE TROUGH WILL MOVE OVERHEAD SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY,  
RESULTING IN HIGHER POPS UP TO 50-70% (HIGHEST IN THE  
AFTERNOON/EVENING). SLOW STORM MOVEMENT AND PWAT VALUES OF  
1.6-1.8" MAY LEAD TO VERY LOCALIZED FLOODING, BUT THIS WOULD BE  
THE EXCEPTION RATHER THAN THE RULE.  
 
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL SEE SIMILAR FORECASTS WITH 30-50%  
CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORM, PRIMARILY IN THE  
AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS. DAILY HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S (MAX  
HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 90-100) AND LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER  
70S.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 1234 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2025  
 
PREDOMINANT VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.  
THERE IS A ~20% CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS  
AFTERNOON, BUT COVERAGE IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE TAFS AT  
THIS TIME.  
 

 
   
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
KS...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...TITUS  
LONG TERM...TITUS  
AVIATION...TITUS  
 
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