806  
FXUS63 KSGF 011118  
AFDSGF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
618 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR INTO THIS WEEKEND.  
TEMPERATURES 5 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS ARE  
FORECAST THROUGH THIS PERIOD.  
 
- THERE IS A SIGNAL FOR THE RETURN OF ABOVE-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES  
AGAIN NEXT WEEK.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/  
 
ISSUED AT 216 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2025  
 
SURFACE PATTERN CHANGED LITTLE SINCE THURSDAY WITH HIGH  
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES  
CONTINUING TO FILL FILTER COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION. THE UPPER  
LEVEL PATTERN REMAINS NORTHWESTERLY AS AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS  
FROM THE DESERT SOUTHWEST UP THE ROCKIES ALONG WITH SEVERAL  
SHORT WAVE TROUGHS EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW. THANKS TO THE  
NORTHWEST WINDS...COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE TODAY. THIS,  
COMBINED WITH CLOUDS MOVING OVER THE REGION WILL AGAIN KEEP  
TEMPERATURES AROUND 80 INTO THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
DESPITE RISING HEIGHTS IN THE UPPER LEVELS...TEMPERATURES TODAY  
WILL BE PLEASANTLY COOL WITH HIGHS AROUND 80 DEGREES THANKS TO  
850MB TEMPERATURES FROM 14-16 DEGREES WHICH WILL OCCUR AGAIN  
INTO SATURDAY.  
 
 
   
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 216 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2025  
 
AS SEVERAL SHORTWAVES MOVE OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE, THIS WILL  
ACT TO WEAKEN AND BREAK DOWN THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE RIDGE  
BY SUNDAY...WITH A BIT MORE STRONGER WAVE REACHING THE OZARKS  
LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE  
REGION THURSDAY NIGHT WILL LAY UP ACROSS THE GULF INTO EARLY  
NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL LIMIT THE RETURN FLOW OF RICH MOIST AIR AND  
ASSOCIATED INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THIS WAVE.  
 
THE GULF WILL OPEN BY MIDWEEK AS WAVES OF ENERGY CONTINUE TO  
ROUND THE SOUTHWEST RIDGE AND MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS  
LEADING TO ADDITIONAL LOWER END CONVECTIVE CHANCES.  
 
AS THE MOISTURE MAKES A RETURN TO THE OZARKS BY THE MIDDLE TO  
END OF NEXT WEEK, SO WILL THE HEAT WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING  
BACK INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 611 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2025  
 
LINGERING MOISTURE ALLOWED SOME LOCATIONS TO SEE VISIBILITIES  
FALL TO 5-6SM AT TIMES, BUT THIS WAS NOT WIDESPREAD ENOUGH OF  
WITH LING ENOUGH DURATION TO INCLUDE IN THE TAFS. OCCASIONAL  
PERIODS OF VFR CEILINGS (3.5 TO 5KFT) ARE FORECAST THROUGH THIS  
MORNING WITH CEILINGS IMPROVING THROUGH THE DAY. OTHERWISE,  
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY EASTERLY BETWEEN 5-10MPH FOR THE  
REGION.  
 
 
   
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
KS...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...HATCH  
LONG TERM...HATCH  
AVIATION...HATCH  
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