576
FXUS63 KSGF 040516
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1216 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- MAINLY DRY WITH A SLOW WARMING TREND THIS WEEK. TEMPERATURES
RETURNING TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL VALUES BY THURSDAY INTO
NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 1238 PM CDT SUN AUG 3 2025
A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM A GREAT LAKES HIGH CONTINUES TO
SUPPRESS CONVECTIVE/PRECIP CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA TODAY, BUT
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE IS RESULTING IN GREATER CLOUD COVER
COMPARED TO YESTERDAY ALONG WITH SOME PRECIP OVER NE KS.
REMNANTS FROM THE UPSTREAM PRECIP COULD RESULT IN SOME ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND STORMS WEST OF I-49 LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING, BUT CHANCES ARE LESS THAN 20% AT THIS POINT. EVEN IF
PRECIP DOES DEVELOP, NO SEVERE WEATHER WOULD BE EXPECTED.
LOOK FOR LOWS TONIGHT IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S, FOLLOWED BY
HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S FOR MONDAY.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1238 PM CDT SUN AUG 3 2025
THE PATTERN CURRENTLY FEATURES AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CONUS WITH NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE CWA. THIS
PATTERN WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH THE WEEK. THIS
WILL LEAD TO A WARMING TREND AND A DRY FORECAST. LOOK FOR HIGHS
CLOSER TO NORMAL IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S TUESDAY, CLIMBING
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TO THE LOW TO MID 90S BY THURSDAY AND
PERSISTING THROUGH SATURDAY.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CDT MON AUG 4 2025
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. A WEAK LOW IS EVIDENT NEAR
THE KANSAS CITY AREA, DRAGGING A WEAK FRONT THROUGH SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI. SOME OBS IN EASTERN KASAS HAVE MINORLY REDUCED
VISIBILITY, WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE SHORT-LIVED. WINDS ARE
PRIMARILY OUT OF THE EAST AND VERY LIGHT, AND WILL STAY THAT WAY
THROUGH THE WHOLE PERIOD.
SOME VERY LIGHT SHOWERS (NO LIGHTNING) ARE ONGOING JUST SOUTH OF
KMCI AND ARE NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT KSGF TAF SITES. IF THEY DID,
KJLN WOULD BE THE MOST LIKELY. MID- TO HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL
PASS BY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD BEWTEEN 15 AND 25 KFT.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
SHORT TERM...TITUS
LONG TERM...TITUS
AVIATION...NELSON
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