155  
FNUS73 KSGF 212045  
FWSSGF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUSIEK PURPLE TRAIL BURN UNIT...MDC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
245 PM CST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 CST ON JANUARY 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-762-4363, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT AND COULD VARY  
FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO NORTHEAST AT TIMES. A FRONT WILL  
MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY MORNING  
WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHEASTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT  
FRIDAY AND COULD SEE GUSTS UP TO 25 TO 30 MPH AT  
TIMES. HIGHS WILL ONLY WARM INTO THE 20S ON FRIDAY  
WITH TEMPERATURES LIKELY DROPPING THROUGH THE  
AFTERNOON HOURS. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE 2 TO 3KFT  
WITH TRANSPORT WINDS OUT OF THE NORTHEAST FRIDAY.  
LIGHT SNOW MAY START TO DEVELOPING AS EARLY AS  
FRIDAY AFTERNOON, BUT THE BETTER CHANCES FOR  
ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BEING LATE FRIDAY EVENING INTO  
SATURDAY.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
TIME (CST) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........85 83 80 78 80 81  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............31 30 29 27 25 22  
RH..............56 57 58 60 63 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 7 8 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 15 17 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.3  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 13 15 18 21  
TRANS WIND DIR..E NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 6 7 8 9  
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 4 7 11 17 24  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........83 85 88 90 91 91 92 92 93 93 92 92  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............21 21 22 23 24 25 25 25 24 23 21 19  
RH..............68 65 59 54 50 46 44 41 40 39 40 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 22 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.7  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 24 24 24 23 23 22 22 22 22 22 21  
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).10 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9  
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..31 38 43 47 48 50 48 48 48 47 49 48  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........91 91 92 92 93 93 94 94 93 93 93 94  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 70 80 80 80 80 80 80  
TEMP............17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6  
RH..............44 45 45 46 48 51 55 59 63 66 67 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 21 21 20 18 18 18 18 20 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 21 21 20 18 17 17 18 18 17 17  
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..49 49 48 46 42 38 34 33 34 34 31 31  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........94 94 94 94 94 93 93 92 92 91 90 89  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).90 90 90 90 90 90 80 80 80 80 80 80  
TEMP............6 6 5 6 7 9 11 12 14 14 14 13  
RH..............69 74 79 83 82 79 76 76 76 76 77 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 18 18 18 17 17 17 17 17 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 M M  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 M M  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E E NE NE NE NE NE M M  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 17 17 18 18 18 17 16 15 14 M M  
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE E E E NE NE NE NE NE M M  
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 M M  
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..28 31 31 33 33 33 30 28 26 23 0 0  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...WISE  
REQUESTED BY...DISTRICT SUPERVISOR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600811.0/SGF  
.DELDT 01/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PAUL.JOHNSON@MDC.MO.GOV  
 
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