154
FXUS63 KSGF 261124
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
524 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 12 PM TODAY.
WIND CHILLS AS COLD AS 15 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW ZERO ARE
EXPECTED THIS MORNING.
- BEHIND THE WINTER STORM, HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S AND 30S
THROUGH THURSDAY ALONG WITH LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO
TEENS WILL EXTEND THE TIME IT TAKES FOR ANY SNOW ON THE GROUND
TO CLEAR.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 242 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
AN EXTREME COLD WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM TODAY FOR WIND
CHILL VALUES AS COLD AS -20 DEGREES THIS MORNING. THERE ARE
ROADS THAT ARE STILL PARTIALLY COVERED WITH SNOW FROM THE STORM
THIS WEEKEND. MANY SCHOOLS AND LOCAL BUSINESSES HAVE CLOSED FOR
TODAY WHICH MEANS THERE WILL HOPEFULLY BE LESS PEOPLE OUT ON
THE ROADS. REMEMBER TO USE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING AND GIVE THE
PLOWS PLENTY OF ROOM TO WORK.
TODAY WILL BE SUNNY BUT COLD WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE TEENS.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE BREEZY AROUND 20 MPH UNTIL LATER THIS
EVENING WHEN THEY SHIFT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES INTO NORTHERN TEXAS. WE GET CAUGHT IN BETWEEN
HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTH AND LOW PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH OVER
THE GREAT LEAKS REGION. THIS WILL CAUSE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO
TIGHTEN LATER TONIGHT AND WIND GUSTS WILL INCREASE UP TO 30 MPH
OVERNIGHT. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS FOR MOST
OF THE AREA WITH WIND CHILL VALUES AS COLD AS -15 DEGREES.
TUESDAY WILL START OUT SUNNY BUT CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT
THE DAY AHEAD OF A WEAK DRY FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON
TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGHS FOR TUESDAY WILL FEEL WARM IN THE LOWER 30S
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. WINDS START OUT BREEZY OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST BUT SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY AND FLIP OUT OF
THE NORTH ONCE THE FRONT PASSES THE AREA. TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BE
CHILLY AGAIN WITH LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 242 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
WINDS WILL BE BREEZY JUST ABOUT EVERYDAY THIS WEEK AND MAY BLOW
THE LIGHT FLUFFY SNOW ONTO THE PLOWED ROADS. THIS MAY CONTINUE
TO CAUSE SLIPPERY ROADWAYS UNTIL THE SNOW COMPLETELY MELTS.
ANOTHER TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE END OF
THE WEEK BRINGING COLDER CONDITIONS BACK TO THE AREA FOR FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 20S. SUNDAY MAY BE THE DAY WE
FINALLY GET ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK WITH FORECAST HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S. A DRY AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA AND
MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE LIMITED, SO MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL
OCCUR THIS COMING WEEK. THERE IS 10-15% CHANCE OF SNOW OVER
CENTRAL MO ON FRIDAY, BUT PRECIP IS NOT VERY WIDESPREAD AND NO
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THE CPC 8-14 DAY HAZARD
OUTLOOK HAS OUR AREA OUTLINED FOR A SLIGHT RISK OF MUCH BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE START OF FEBRUARY. THIS MEANS THAT
OUR TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF WEEKS MAY STRUGGLE TO
GET ABOVE OUR AVERAGE HIGH/LOW TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR WHICH WOULD BE HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 40S AND LOWS IN THE
LOW TO MID 20S.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 522 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH WINDS TURNING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST
BY LATER THIS MORNING AND BECOMING GUSTY UP TO 20 KNOTS BY
TONIGHT.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR KSZ073-097-101.
MO...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR MOZ055>058-
066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.
SHORT TERM...SORIA
LONG TERM...SORIA
AVIATION...SORIA
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