985
FXUS63 KSGF 261930
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
130 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- COLD TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND...GENERALLY REMAINING BELOW NORMAL.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 130 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOW UPPER LEVEL
LOW PRESSURE CENTERED JUST SOUTH OF HUDSON BAY WITH SEVERAL
TROUGHS ROTATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE LOW. THE FIRST WAS
PUSHING ACROSS THE OH/TN VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES WITH
ANOTHER ABOUT TO PUSH INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE SURFACE HIGH HAS SHIFTED TO THE SOUTH
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND WE'RE STARTING TO SEE A WEST-
SOUTHWEST WIND DEVELOP. TEMPERATURES HAVE RESPONDED TO THE
SUNSHINE AND ONSET OF LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION DESPITE THE
DECENT SNOW PACK ACROSS THE AREA. WE'VE REBOUNDED FROM MORNING
TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO AND IN SOME INSTANCES READINGS NEAR -20
TO MIDDAY READINGS GENERALLY IN THE TEENS ABOVE ZERO SO FAR.
TONIGHT: AS THE UPPER WAVE DIVES SOUTHEAST INTO THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, WE'LL SEE AN INCREASE IN THE SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE SURFACE HIGH TO OUR SOUTH AND THE
LOW TO OUR NORTH. AS A RESULT, WE'LL SEE FAIRLY STRONG WARM AIR
ADVECTION DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH
THE WARM ADVECTION FIGHTING WITH THE SNOW COVER FOR LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT. HAVE ADJUSTED HIGHER THAN PREVIOUS
FORECAST WITH THE WARM ADVECTION AND WE SHOULD STAY WARM ENOUGH
TO KEEP THE AREA OUT OF ANY COLD WEATHER HEADLINES. IT WILL
STILL BE COLD WITH LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO AROUND 13 AND
WIND CHILLS FROM AROUND -3 TO 5 ABOVE.
TUESDAY: THE WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH AS THE LOW SHIFTS INTO THE
GREAT LAKES REGION WITH ANOTHER FULL ROUND OF SUNSHINE EXPECTED.
HIGHS SHOULD REACH THE LOW TO MID 30S.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 130 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
COLD TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK
INTO THE WEEKEND. A COUPLE WAVES OF ENERGY WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
REGION TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL INCREASE THE
CLOUD COVER, HOWEVER MOISTURE DOESN'T LOOK OVERLY IMPRESSIVE AND
WE ARE KEEPING PRECIPITATION CHANCES OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR
NOW.
A STRONGER WAVE AND SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL ENHANCE THE COLD AIR WITH
TEMPERATURES LIKELY DROPPING BELOW ZERO AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING.
WE ARE EXPECTING TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE
WEEKEND WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE NORMAL READINGS SHOWING UP
NEXT WEEK. NORMALS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR ARE LOW TO MID 40S FOR
HIGHS AND MID 20S FOR LOWS.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1121 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
FOR THE 18Z TAFS, WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN AVIATION HAZARD WITH
THIS FORECAST. AS THE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM SHIFTS TO OUR
SOUTH THIS EVENING, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL INCREASE AND
WE'LL SEE GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS DEVELOP THROUGH THE EVENING AND
MUCH OF THE NIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. WITH
THAT, WE'LL ALSO SEE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR DEVELOP THROUGH THE
EVENING AND NIGHT AT 35 TO 50 KTS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
SHORT TERM...LINDENBERG
LONG TERM...LINDENBERG
AVIATION...LINDENBERG
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