091
FXUS63 KSGF 271720
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1120 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- COLD TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND...GENERALLY REMAINING BELOW NORMAL.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 246 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
WE ARE CURRENTLY SITTING IN BETWEEN A SURFACE LOW OVER THE GREAT
LAKES AND A SURFACE HIGH OVER THE SOUTHEAST. THIS HAS CAUSED OUR
PRESSURE GRADIENT TO TIGHTEN JUST A BIT OVERNIGHT AND KEEP OUR
SOUTHWEST WINDS ELEVATED GUSTING TO 20 MPH. LOWS TONIGHT HAVE
STAYED IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S WHICH IS A BIT WARMER
THAN ANTICIPATED, BUT A WELCOME BREAK FROM THE FRIGID
TEMPERATURES. THIS IS LIKELY BECAUSE WE ARE SITTING TO THE WEST
OF A WARM FRONT AND WARM AIR ADVECTION HAS SAVED US FROM SINGLE
DIGIT LOWS. TODAY WILL START OUT SUNNY BUT CLOUDS WILL INCREASE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY AHEAD OF A WEAK DRY FRONT THAT WILL MOVE
THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. HIGHS FOR TODAY WILL FEEL WARMER IN THE
LOWER 30S WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. WINDS START OUT BREEZY OUT
OF THE SOUTHWEST BUT SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY AND FLIP
OUT OF THE NORTH ONCE THE FRONT PASSES THE AREA. TONIGHT WILL BE
COOLER THAN LAST NIGHT'S TEMPERATURES WITH LOWS IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS AND WINDS BECOME LIGHT. ADVECTION FOG MAY FORM TONIGHT
DUE TO THE SNOWPACK INTERACTING WITH THE INCOMING FRONT AND IF
IT DOES, IT'LL BE PATCHY.
WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE WEEK WITH SUNNY SKIES
AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 30S WHICH WILL ALLOW SNOW TO
CONTINUE MELTING. TOMORROW NIGHT WILL FEATURE LOWS IN THE TEENS
AND CLOUDY SKIES.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 246 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
SNOW CONTINUES TO MELT AND REFREEZE ON ROADWAYS WHICH HAS LED TO
BLACK ICE FORMING IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND
OVERPASSES. USE CAUTION DRIVING ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT WHEN BLACK
ICE CAN BE HARD TO SPOT AND WHEN MELTED SNOW IS LIKELY TO
REFREEZE.
ANOTHER TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY EVENING
BRINGING COLDER CONDITIONS BACK TO THE AREA FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S. SUNDAY WILL BE
WARMER WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS RETURNING. A
DRY AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA AND MOISTURE
RETURN WILL BE LIMITED, SO MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR THIS
WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND.
THE CPC 6-10 DAY OUTLOOK HAS OUR AREA OUTLINED FOR A 30-40%
CHANCE OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND 30-40% CHANCE FOR BELOW
NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR THE START OF FEBRUARY. THE AVERAGE
HIGH/LOW TEMPERATURES FOR THAT TIME OF YEAR WOULD BE HIGHS IN
THE LOW TO MID 40S AND LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 20S.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1116 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
FOR THE 18Z TAFS, A COLD FRONT WAS JUST TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
AREA AND WINDS WERE STARTING TO VEER AROUND TO THE WEST,
EVENTUALLY BECOMING NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AFTER THE FROPA. AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THIS
EVENING/TONIGHT WITH MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER INCREASING OVER
THE AREA. TEMPERATURES SHOULD DROP BELOW CROSSOVER TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL OF SOME RADIATION FOG DEVELOPING IF
WE CAN CLEAR OUT THE MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER. FOR NOW, HAVE
ADDED 5SM WITH A 4 HOUR 2SM TEMPO GROUP AT THE TAF SITES TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE FOG POTENTIAL. SHOULD WE LOSE THE CLOUD COVER
SOONER, THE VISIBILITY MAY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED WITH FUTURE
FORECASTS.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
SHORT TERM...SORIA
LONG TERM...SORIA
AVIATION...LINDENBERG
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