795
FXUS63 KSGF 272326
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
526 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- COLD TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
- FOG POTENTIAL THE NEXT COUPLE OF NIGHTS.
- BITTERLY COLD AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 116 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOW AN AMPLIFIED
RIDGE AXIS OVER THE GREAT BASIN INTO THE SOUTHWEST U.S. WITH A
STORM SYSTEM PUSHING INTO THE WEST COAST. EAST OF THE RIDGE, A
LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE REMAINS OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
HUDSON BAY INTO ONTARIO AN QUEBEC WITH CYCLONIC FLOW COVERING
ABOUT HALF OF THE CONUS. A SHORTWAVE OVER THE ROCKIES HAD SOME
MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER WHICH WAS SPREADING EAST INTO THE
PLAINS AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. AT THE SURFACE, A COLD FRONT
WAS PUSHING SOUTH INTO THE FORECAST AREA AND SHOULD SWITCH OUR
WIND TO THE NORTHWEST THEN NORTH THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S
ACROSS THE AREA.
TRICKY SHORT TERM FORECAST FOR TONIGHT. THE MID/UPPER LEVEL
CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD EAST INTO THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THEN CONTINUE INTO PARTS OF THE OVERNIGHT.
LAST NIGHT THE WARM AIR ADVECTION WON OUT AGAINST THE SNOW COVER
AND KEPT TEMPERATURES STEADY OR EVEN SLOWLY RISING THROUGH THE
NIGHT. AM NOT EXPECTING THE SAME SCENARIO TONIGHT. CURRENTLY DEW
POINTS WERE IN THE TEENS ACROSS THE AREA WHICH WILL BE OUR CROSS
OVER TEMPERATURE DURING THE WARMEST PART OF THE AFTERNOON FOR
RADIATION FOG DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL. IN SUPPORT OF FOG
DEVELOPMENT WE WILL HAVE TEMPERATURES DROPPING BELOW THE CROSS
OVER TEMPERATURE TONIGHT INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. ALSO, WE WILL
HAVE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE AREA WHICH WILL KEEP
WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE AND THIRDLY WE WILL PROBABLY HAVE SOME
SNOW MELT ADDING MOISTURE IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER. WORKING AGAINST
FOG DEVELOPMENT WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUD
COVER. HAVE ADDED SOME FOG TO THE FORECAST, GENERALLY IN THE
2-5 MILE VISIBILITY RANGE FOR NOW, BUT THIS MAY HAVE TO BE
ADJUSTED DOWNWARD IF CLOUD TRENDS START DECREASING. THE MAIN ARE
OF EXPECTED LOWER VISIBILITY WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
U.S. 60 CORRIDOR IN SOUTHERN MO.
WEDNESDAY: IN THE WAKE OF ANY MORNING FOG, WE SHOULD SEE PLENTY
OF SUNSHINE AND TEMPERATURES RISING BACK INTO THE MID 30S FOR
HIGHS WHICH WILL CAUSE MORE SNOW TO MELT ACROSS THE AREA.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 116 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL PUSH INTO THE PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WHICH WILL HELP TO DEVELOP AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AT THE
SURFACE OVER THE PLAINS INTO THE MID/LOWER MS VALLEY. THERE WILL
BE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED WEST TO EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN MO OR
NORTHERN AR. WE MAY SEE FOG DEVELOP AGAIN DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN MO. AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA LATE THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT, THERE MAY BE
ENOUGH ENERGY AND MOISTURE FOR A FEW SNOW SHOWERS ON THURSDAY
NIGHT(POPS AT THIS TIME ARE 20% OR LESS).
ANOTHER ARCTIC BLAST: A STRONGER SHORTWAVE ON FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT WILL USHER IN ANOTHER ARCTIC AIR MASS INTO THE REGION WITH
HIGHS ONLY IN THE LOW TO MID 20S FRIDAY AND LOWS DROPPING INTO
THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE AND BELOW ZERO AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT. WIND
CHILLS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TEENS BELOW
ZERO. THIS MAY FLIRT WITH COLD WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA FRIDAY
NIGHT. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE TEENS TO LOW 20S WITH
LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT BACK IN THE SINGLE DIGITS.
WE START TO REBOUND BACK INTO THE 30S FOR HIGHS ON SUNDAY AS THE
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES TO OUR SOUTH, WITH POSSIBLY UPPER 30S
TO LOW 40S BY MONDAY WHICH WOULD BE CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMS.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 523 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
FOG IS POSSIBLE AT KBBG TONIGHT. KSGF COULD ALSO SEE FOG, BUT
PROBABILITIES ARE LESS THAN 15% SO LEFT OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR
NOW. OVERALL CONFIDENCE IN DETAILS RELATED TO THE FOG IS LOW. IF
FOG DOES BECOME DENSE, FREEZING FOG MAY RESULT IN ICE FORMATION.
OTHERWISE, LOOK FOR LIGHT WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
SHORT TERM...LINDENBERG
LONG TERM...LINDENBERG
AVIATION...TITUS
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