917
FXUS63 KSGF 281726
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1126 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- COLD TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
- FOG POTENTIAL THE NEXT COUPLE OF NIGHTS.
- BITTERLY COLD AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 201 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
WE ARE CURRENTLY SITTING IN BETWEEN A MID-LEVEL LOW OVER THE
GREAT LAKES AND A MID-LEVEL HIGH OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
WITH A SURFACE HIGH OVERHEAD. HIGH PRESSURE HAS ALLOWED CLOUDS
TO FILTER OUT A LITTLE FASTER EARLY THIS MORNING MAKING FOR
CLEAR SKIES FOR TODAY. PATCHY FOG HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FORM OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS, THOUGH THE PROBABILITY OF THAT
SCENARIO OCCURRING IS SLOWLY DECREASING. TEMPERATURES ARE
CURRENTLY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TEENS ACROSS THE AREA MAKING
IT FOR A CHILLY START TO THE DAY. HIGHS FOR TODAY WILL REACH THE
MID 30S WITH LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. SNOW CONTINUES TO MELT AND
REFREEZE ON ROADWAYS WHICH HAS LED TO BLACK ICE FORMING IN A
FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. USE CAUTION
DRIVING ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT WHEN BLACK ICE CAN BE HARD TO SPOT
AND WHEN MELTED SNOW IS LIKELY TO REFREEZE.
TONIGHT WILL BE A BIT WARMER WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS
AND LIGHT WINDS. CLOUDS WILL BUILD BACK IN OVERNIGHT DUE TO A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED WEST TO EAST NEAR THE MO/AR BORDER.
THERE WILL BE PATCHY FOG POTENTIAL ONCE AGAIN DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MO.
ANOTHER TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. THERE
MAY BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND LIFT FOR A FEW SNOW SHOWERS TO PASS
OVER THE AREA. PROBABILITY FOR THOSE SNOW SHOWERS IS <20% AND NO
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 201 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
COOLER TEMPERATURES ARRIVE FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S. THE COLDEST WIND CHILLS DURING THE
FORECAST PERIOD WILL BE FROM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING
WITH WIND CHILLS AS COLD AS -15 DEGREES. SUNDAY WILL BE WARMER
WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS RETURNING. A DRY
AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA AND MOISTURE RETURN
WILL BE LIMITED, SO MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR THIS WEEK
AND INTO THE WEEKEND. BRIEF WARM UP OCCURS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY
WITH HIGHS REACHING THE 40S. THEN, PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO
RETURN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. IT'S TOO SOON TO DETERMINE
WHAT THE TYPE WILL BE THIS FAR OUT.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1119 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
FOR THE 18Z TAFS, ANOTHER UPPER WAVE WILL APPROACH THE FORECAST
AREA DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. WE'LL START TO GET MID AND
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS THIS EVENING WHICH WILL LOWER TO AROUND
12-15KFT LATE TONIGHT. THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER SHOULD KEEP
RADIATIONAL FOG POTENTIAL ON THE LOW SIDE DESPITE AN ADDITIONAL
DAY OF SNOW MELTING. FOR NOW, WE ARE GOING WITH VFR CONDITIONS
WITH THE 00Z/06Z TAFS LIKELY TO HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON ANY FOG
DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
SHORT TERM...SORIA
LONG TERM...SORIA
AVIATION...LINDENBERG
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