048
FXUS63 KSGF 210502
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1102 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- THERE IS A 20% CHANCE OF SPRINKLES/FLURRIES TONIGHT. NO
ACCUMULATION OR IMPACTS EXPECTED. MANY LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN
DRY.
- COOLER CONDITIONS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK THEN WARMING BACK INTO
THE 60S.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 103 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
20% CHANCE FOR SPRINKLES/FLURRIES TONIGHT:
- IMPACTS: NONE EXPECTED SINCE ACCUMULATIONS ARE ALSO NOT
EXPECTED AND AIR TEMPERATURES THROUGH MOST OF THE NIGHT
SHOULD BE NEAR TO ABOVE FREEZING.
- SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW: SHORTWAVE ENERGY OVER THE ROCKIES WILL
SHIFT NORTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT. DRY LOW LEVEL AIR WILL LIMIT
OR PROHIBIT PRECIP FROM MAKING IT TO THE GROUND.
- ADDITIONAL INFO: TEMPERATURES THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT WILL BE
ABOVE FREEZING, DROPPING BELOW LATE AT NIGHT WHEN ANY PRECIP
TAPERS OFF. EVEN AFTER TEMPS DROP BELOW FREEZING, RELATIVELY
WARM GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL PREVENT ANY OF THE VERY LIGHT
PRECIP FROM ACCUMULATING.
REST OF THE SHORT TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY):
- IMPACTS: SINGLE DIGIT WIND CHILLS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING.
- ADDITIONAL INFO: SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES INCREASINGLY
DOMINANT. NO PRECIP EXPECTED WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE MID
30S TO MID 40S AND LOWS IN THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S. SINGLE
DIGIT WIND CHILLS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 103 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
WARMER CONDITIONS:
- IMPACTS: NONE EXPECTED.
- ADDITIONAL INFO: THE AMPLIFIED UPPER PATTERN OF A TROUGH OVER
THE EASTERN CONUS AND RIDGE OVER THE WEST BREAKS DOWN SOME,
SENDING WARMER AIR EAST INTO OUR AREA.
- LOOK FOR HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 60S.
- POTENTIAL COLD FRONT MAY BRING COOLER CONDITIONS LATE WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1059 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT WITH CEILINGS LOWERING
CLOSER TO 5KFT. THERE IS A 20-30 PERCENT CHANCE OF A LIGHT
WINTRY MIX (LIGHT RAIN/LIGHT SLEET/LIGHT SNOW) AT THE SITES
IN THE 9Z-14Z TIMEFRAME HOWEVER NO ACCUM IS EXPECTED. HIGHEST
CONFIDENCE IS FOR THIS AT SGF AND BBG AND HAVE USED PROB30
GROUPS THERE FOR NOW AND CAN AMEND TO TEMPO LATER IF CONFIDENCE
INCREASES. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST
OVERNIGHT WITH A NORTHWEST WIND SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
SHORT TERM...TITUS
LONG TERM...TITUS
AVIATION...BURCHFIELD
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page