818  
FNUS73 KSGF 262048  
FWSSGF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCKY BRANCH...US FOREST SERVICE - USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
248 PM CST THU FEB 26 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON FEBRUARY 27.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-762-4363, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
CLEAR SKIES AND DRY AIR ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY, WITH MODEST WEST-  
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST BRINGS AFTERNOON RHS  
DOWN TO 20-25%. HOWEVER, SOME MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A LOW-END  
10-20% CHANCE FOR RHS TO DROP BELOW 20%, ESPECIALLY ATOP RIDGES  
AND ANY SOUTHERN ASPECT SLOPES THAT ARE AROUND THE SPOT. WITH  
SUCH DRY AIR FORECAST, MIXING HEIGHTS SHOULD HAVE NO PROBLEM  
REACHING 4-5+ KFT. WITH WINDS BEING A BIT MODEST AT 8-12 MPH AND  
GUSTS UP TO 15-20 MPH, VENTRATES WILL RESPOND WELL AT 60-80,000  
KT-FT. THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET, AND COMBINED WITH  
THE CLEAR SKIES, A NOCTURNAL INVERSION WILL BE QUICK TO DEVELOP  
AFTER 6 PM, LOWERING MIXING HEIGHTS AND VENTRATES.  
 
THE SAME SORT OF SETUP LOOKS TO OCCUR SATURDAY, WITH THE EXCEPTION  
OF SLIGHTLY HIGHER RH VALUES (25-30%) DUE TO WEAK MOISTURE  
ADVECTION WITH THE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS.  
 
   
FRIDAY  
 
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 2 1 1 1 0 1 1 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............52 58 63 67 69 71 71 72 70  
RH..............50 40 32 28 25 24 23 22 24  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 16 17 18 18 18 16 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 2.0 3.5 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.5 4.0 1.9  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.6 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.2 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 15 16 16 16 17 17 12  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW W W W W W W W W  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 5  
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 22 45 68 72 75 83 60 19  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR GD GD GD GD FR PR  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........2 6 8 9 9 9 9 13 16 20 19 19  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............65 61 57 55 54 53 51 50 47 46 44 43  
RH..............33 39 45 49 50 50 54 56 65 68 73 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 10 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W SW SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 12 12 12 10 8 7 6 5  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W SW SE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 2  
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 5 5 6 6 5 4 4 3 3 2 1  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........18 18 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 18 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............43 46 50 54 59 64 69 72 73 74 73 70  
RH..............76 71 63 57 49 41 35 31 30 29 29 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S SW SW SW SW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 14 15 17 18 20 20 18 17 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.4 3.3 4.4 5.4 5.5 4.1 2.1  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.2 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 7 8 10 12 14 16 18 18 15 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..E SE SE SE S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).2 2 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 8 7 4  
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 3 6 14 24 39 62 86 89 54 17  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR GD GD GD FR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...PRICE  
REQUESTED BY...REGGIE BRAY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604144.0/SGF  
.DELDT 02/26/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL REGGIE.BRAY@USDA.GOV  
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